Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
20%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.102.173.27safe0.13–2.071.32–3.031.45–5.09safer0.00–2.321.09–3.260.97–5.57
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.695.959.64safe1.83–5.554.20–7.696.03–13.24safer1.34–6.043.74–8.155.08–14.20
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5216.3527.87safe7.60–15.4512.79–19.9220.39–35.36safer6.51–16.5411.83–20.8818.34–37.41
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3411.3117.65safe3.39–9.288.63–13.9912.02–23.27safer2.56–10.117.89–14.7310.46–24.84
Blocked shots
29%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.384.437.81safe1.50–5.262.77–6.084.27–11.34safer0.95–5.802.28–6.573.24–12.38
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.255.8110.05safe2.04–6.463.81–7.815.84–14.27safer1.46–7.043.27–8.344.73–15.37
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.2257.01safe36.43–50.0150.22–63.79safer34.76–51.6848.55–65.46
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction352483834safe285–419416–549701–968safer266–437399–567665–1004
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction78.4982.09safe74.46–82.5277.77–86.42safer73.17–83.8176.46–87.73
Fouls
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8812.5625.43safe10.04–15.719.61–15.5019.65–31.21safer9.28–16.478.86–16.2518.14–32.72
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.643.22safe0.42–2.740.55–2.730.97–5.47safer0.12–3.040.26–3.020.38–6.06
Yellow cards
43%
19%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.174.50safe1.28–3.381.04–3.302.33–6.68safer1.02–3.650.75–3.591.77–7.24
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.862.886.75safe2.43–5.301.33–4.443.75–9.74safer2.04–5.690.90–4.862.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 2.17 1.32–3.03 1.09–3.26 | 3.27 1.45–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 18% 20% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.83–5.55 1.34–6.04 | 5.95 4.20–7.69 3.74–8.15 | 9.64 6.03–13.24 5.08–14.20 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 11.52 7.60–15.45 6.51–16.54 | 16.35 12.79–19.92 11.83–20.88 | 27.87 20.39–35.36 18.34–37.41 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.34 3.39–9.28 2.56–10.11 | 11.31 8.63–13.99 7.89–14.73 | 17.65 12.02–23.27 10.46–24.84 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.26 0.95–5.80 | 4.43 2.77–6.08 2.28–6.57 | 7.81 4.27–11.34 3.24–12.38 | 29% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.25 2.04–6.46 1.46–7.04 | 5.81 3.81–7.81 3.27–8.34 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.37 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 43.22 36.43–50.01 34.76–51.68 | 57.01 50.22–63.79 48.55–65.46 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 352 285–419 266–437 | 483 416–549 399–567 | 834 701–968 665–1004 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.49 74.46–82.52 73.17–83.81 | 82.09 77.77–86.42 76.46–87.73 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.88 10.04–15.71 9.28–16.47 | 12.56 9.61–15.50 8.86–16.25 | 25.43 19.65–31.21 18.14–32.72 | 49% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.22 0.97–5.47 0.38–6.06 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.38 1.02–3.65 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.50 2.33–6.68 1.77–7.24 | 43% 19% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.86 2.43–5.30 2.04–5.69 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.75 3.75–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 57% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.