Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.470.813.27safe1.50–3.440.00–1.661.45–5.10safer1.25–3.690.00–1.890.97–5.58
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.922.859.78safe5.06–8.791.11–4.606.17–13.38safer4.57–9.280.64–5.065.22–14.34
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.608.7328.33safe15.68–23.525.17–12.3020.85–35.82safer14.58–24.624.21–13.2518.79–37.87
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.854.9118.76safe10.90–16.792.23–7.5913.13–24.38safer10.07–17.621.49–8.3311.57–25.95
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.742.487.22safe2.86–6.620.82–4.133.68–10.75safer2.31–7.170.33–4.622.65–11.79
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.943.3210.26safe4.72–9.151.32–5.326.04–14.47safer4.15–9.720.79–5.854.93–15.58
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.1539.59safe53.36–66.9432.81–46.38safer51.69–68.6131.14–48.05
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction532355888safe465–600289–422754–1021safer447–618271–439718–1057
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction83.1777.44safe79.14–87.1973.12–81.76safer77.84–88.4971.81–83.07
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6513.4726.12safe9.81–15.4910.52–16.4120.34–31.90safer9.06–16.249.78–17.1618.83–33.40
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.453.20safe0.59–2.910.35–2.540.94–5.45safer0.29–3.210.06–2.830.35–6.04
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.243.71safe0.42–2.521.11–3.371.53–5.89safer0.15–2.780.82–3.660.97–6.44
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.194.446.63safe0.75–3.622.89–6.003.64–9.62safer0.36–4.012.46–6.422.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.47 1.50–3.44 1.25–3.69 | 0.81 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 3.27 1.45–5.10 0.97–5.58 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.92 5.06–8.79 4.57–9.28 | 2.85 1.11–4.60 0.64–5.06 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.22–14.34 | 88% |
| Total shots | 19.60 15.68–23.52 14.58–24.62 | 8.73 5.17–12.30 4.21–13.25 | 28.33 20.85–35.82 18.79–37.87 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.85 10.90–16.79 10.07–17.62 | 4.91 2.23–7.59 1.49–8.33 | 18.76 13.13–24.38 11.57–25.95 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.62 2.31–7.17 | 2.48 0.82–4.13 0.33–4.62 | 7.22 3.68–10.75 2.65–11.79 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.94 4.72–9.15 4.15–9.72 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.79–5.85 | 10.26 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.58 | 84% |
| Possession % | 60.15 53.36–66.94 51.69–68.61 | 39.59 32.81–46.38 31.14–48.05 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 532 465–600 447–618 | 355 289–422 271–439 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.17 79.14–87.19 77.84–88.49 | 77.44 73.12–81.76 71.81–83.07 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.81–15.49 9.06–16.24 | 13.47 10.52–16.41 9.78–17.16 | 26.12 20.34–31.90 18.83–33.40 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 1.45 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.83 | 3.20 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.44 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 4.44 2.89–6.00 2.46–6.42 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.83–10.44 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

