Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.502.83safe0.37–2.310.64–2.351.01–4.66safer0.12–2.560.41–2.580.53–5.14
Shots on target
41%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.444.609.04safe2.57–6.302.86–6.345.43–12.64safer2.08–6.792.39–6.814.47–13.60
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3712.9925.36safe8.45–16.309.43–16.5617.88–32.85safer7.35–17.398.47–17.5215.83–34.90
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.918.6316.54safe4.97–10.855.95–11.3110.92–22.16safer4.14–11.685.21–12.059.35–23.73
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.426.52safe1.22–4.991.76–5.072.99–10.06safer0.68–5.531.27–5.561.95–11.09
Corners
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.744.699.43safe2.52–6.952.69–6.695.21–13.64safer1.95–7.522.16–7.224.11–14.75
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.8850.44safe43.09–56.6743.65–57.22safer41.42–58.3441.98–58.89
Passes
47%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction425432857safe357–492366–499723–991safer339–510348–516688–1026
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction82.1281.76safe78.10–86.1577.44–86.09safer76.80–87.4576.13–87.39
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4013.2126.61safe10.56–16.2410.27–16.1620.83–32.39safer9.81–16.999.52–16.9019.32–33.90
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.263.42safe1.00–3.320.17–2.351.16–5.67safer0.70–3.620.00–2.640.57–6.26
Yellow cards
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.604.85safe1.20–3.301.47–3.732.67–7.03safer0.93–3.571.18–4.022.11–7.58
Red cards
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.120.29safe0.01–0.330.00–0.300.00–0.63safer0.00–0.480.00–0.440.00–0.92
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.985.97safe1.56–4.431.42–4.532.98–8.96safer1.17–4.821.00–4.962.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.50 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.58 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.57–6.30 2.08–6.79 | 4.60 2.86–6.34 2.39–6.81 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.60 | 41% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.37 8.45–16.30 7.35–17.39 | 12.99 9.43–16.56 8.47–17.52 | 25.36 17.88–32.85 15.83–34.90 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.91 4.97–10.85 4.14–11.68 | 8.63 5.95–11.31 5.21–12.05 | 16.54 10.92–22.16 9.35–23.73 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.22–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 3.42 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 6.52 2.99–10.06 1.95–11.09 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.52–6.95 1.95–7.52 | 4.69 2.69–6.69 2.16–7.22 | 9.43 5.21–13.64 4.11–14.75 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 49.88 43.09–56.67 41.42–58.34 | 50.44 43.65–57.22 41.98–58.89 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 425 357–492 339–510 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 857 723–991 688–1026 | 47% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.12 78.10–86.15 76.80–87.45 | 81.76 77.44–86.09 76.13–87.39 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 13.40 10.56–16.24 9.81–16.99 | 13.21 10.27–16.16 9.52–16.90 | 26.61 20.83–32.39 19.32–33.90 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 1.26 0.17–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.93–3.57 | 2.60 1.47–3.73 1.18–4.02 | 4.85 2.67–7.03 2.11–7.58 | 35% 18% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.29 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.92 | 14% 76% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 2.98 1.42–4.53 1.00–4.96 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.