Süper Lig·Regular Season - 24·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.162.78safe0.65–2.580.31–2.020.96–4.60safer0.40–2.840.08–2.250.48–5.08
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.993.868.84safe3.12–6.852.11–5.605.24–12.45safer2.64–7.341.65–6.064.28–13.40
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0510.9525.00safe10.12–17.977.39–14.5117.51–32.49safer9.03–19.066.43–15.4715.46–34.54
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction8.496.5415.04safe5.55–11.443.86–9.229.41–20.66safer4.72–12.273.12–9.967.85–22.23
Blocked shots
63%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.376.05safe1.79–5.560.72–4.032.51–9.58safer1.25–6.100.23–4.521.48–10.62
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.189.64safe3.25–7.672.18–6.185.43–13.85safer2.67–8.251.65–6.724.32–14.96
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction50.5249.02safe43.73–57.3142.23–55.80safer42.06–58.9840.56–57.47
Passes
50%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction442440882safe375–509374–507749–1016safer357–527357–524713–1052
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction81.7081.84safe77.67–85.7377.52–86.17safer76.38–87.0276.21–87.48
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1413.7726.91safe10.30–15.9810.82–16.7121.13–32.69safer9.55–16.7410.08–17.4619.62–34.20
Offsides
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.013.42safe0.25–2.570.91–3.101.17–5.67safer0.00–2.880.62–3.390.58–6.26
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.274.43safe1.11–3.211.14–3.402.25–6.61safer0.85–3.480.85–3.691.70–7.17
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.553.085.63safe1.12–3.991.53–4.642.64–8.63safer0.73–4.381.10–5.061.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.58 0.40–2.84 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.12–6.85 2.64–7.34 | 3.86 2.11–5.60 1.65–6.06 | 8.84 5.24–12.45 4.28–13.40 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.05 10.12–17.97 9.03–19.06 | 10.95 7.39–14.51 6.43–15.47 | 25.00 17.51–32.49 15.46–34.54 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 8.49 5.55–11.44 4.72–12.27 | 6.54 3.86–9.22 3.12–9.96 | 15.04 9.41–20.66 7.85–22.23 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.56 1.25–6.10 | 2.37 0.72–4.03 0.23–4.52 | 6.05 2.51–9.58 1.48–10.62 | 63% 15% 23% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.67 2.67–8.25 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.65–6.72 | 9.64 5.43–13.85 4.32–14.96 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 50.52 43.73–57.31 42.06–58.98 | 49.02 42.23–55.80 40.56–57.47 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 442 375–509 357–527 | 440 374–507 357–524 | 882 749–1016 713–1052 | 50% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.70 77.67–85.73 76.38–87.02 | 81.84 77.52–86.17 76.21–87.48 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 13.14 10.30–15.98 9.55–16.74 | 13.77 10.82–16.71 10.08–17.46 | 26.91 21.13–32.69 19.62–34.20 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.88 | 2.01 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.39 | 3.42 1.17–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.43 2.25–6.61 1.70–7.17 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.08 1.53–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 5.63 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.