Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.082.59safe0.53–2.470.23–1.940.77–4.41safer0.28–2.720.00–2.170.29–4.89
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.448.79safe3.49–7.221.70–5.185.19–12.40safer3.00–7.711.23–5.654.23–13.35
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2210.1626.38safe12.29–20.146.60–13.7218.89–33.86safer11.20–21.245.64–14.6816.84–35.91
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.036.3916.42safe7.09–12.973.71–9.0710.80–22.05safer6.26–13.802.97–9.819.23–23.61
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.962.606.56safe2.08–5.840.94–4.253.02–10.09safer1.54–6.390.45–4.741.99–11.13
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.423.999.42safe3.21–7.641.99–5.995.20–13.63safer2.64–8.211.46–6.534.10–14.74
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.4448.94safe44.65–58.2342.15–55.72safer42.98–59.9040.48–57.39
Passes
58%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction423397820safe355–490331–464686–953safer337–508313–481650–989
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction81.8879.76safe77.85–85.9175.44–84.09safer76.56–87.2074.13–85.39
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1013.3726.47safe10.26–15.9310.43–16.3220.69–32.25safer9.50–16.699.68–17.0719.18–33.75
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.403.20safe0.64–2.960.31–2.490.94–5.45safer0.34–3.260.02–2.780.35–6.04
Yellow cards
33%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.352.825.17safe1.30–3.401.69–3.953.00–7.35safer1.04–3.671.40–4.242.44–7.91
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.150.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.62safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.766.12safe0.93–3.802.20–5.323.13–9.11safer0.54–4.191.78–5.742.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.49–7.22 3.00–7.71 | 3.44 1.70–5.18 1.23–5.65 | 8.79 5.19–12.40 4.23–13.35 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.22 12.29–20.14 11.20–21.24 | 10.16 6.60–13.72 5.64–14.68 | 26.38 18.89–33.86 16.84–35.91 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.03 7.09–12.97 6.26–13.80 | 6.39 3.71–9.07 2.97–9.81 | 16.42 10.80–22.05 9.23–23.61 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.84 1.54–6.39 | 2.60 0.94–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 6.56 3.02–10.09 1.99–11.13 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.21–7.64 2.64–8.21 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.53 | 9.42 5.20–13.63 4.10–14.74 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 51.44 44.65–58.23 42.98–59.90 | 48.94 42.15–55.72 40.48–57.39 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 423 355–490 337–508 | 397 331–464 313–481 | 820 686–953 650–989 | 58% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.88 77.85–85.91 76.56–87.20 | 79.76 75.44–84.09 74.13–85.39 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 13.10 10.26–15.93 9.50–16.69 | 13.37 10.43–16.32 9.68–17.07 | 26.47 20.69–32.25 19.18–33.75 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.20 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.35 1.30–3.40 1.04–3.67 | 2.82 1.69–3.95 1.40–4.24 | 5.17 3.00–7.35 2.44–7.91 | 33% 18% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.76 2.20–5.32 1.78–5.74 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.32–9.93 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.