Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.342.70safe0.39–2.320.49–2.200.87–4.52safer0.14–2.580.26–2.420.39–5.00
Shots on target
44%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.394.348.73safe2.52–6.252.60–6.095.12–12.33safer2.03–6.742.13–6.554.17–13.29
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4713.1325.61safe8.55–16.409.57–16.7018.12–33.09safer7.46–17.498.61–17.6616.07–35.15
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.078.3916.46safe5.13–11.015.71–11.0710.84–22.08safer4.30–11.844.97–11.819.27–23.65
Blocked shots
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.386.55safe1.29–5.051.73–5.043.02–10.09safer0.74–5.601.24–5.531.98–11.12
Corners
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.794.789.57safe2.58–7.002.78–6.785.36–13.79safer2.00–7.582.25–7.324.25–14.89
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.5047.71safe45.71–59.2940.92–54.49safer44.04–60.9639.25–56.16
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction431394825safe364–498328–461691–959safer346–516310–478656–994
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction80.7180.57safe76.68–84.7476.25–84.90safer75.39–86.0374.94–86.20
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1113.3125.42safe9.28–14.9510.37–16.2619.64–31.21safer8.52–15.719.62–17.0018.14–32.71
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.723.25safe0.38–2.700.62–2.811.00–5.51safer0.08–3.000.34–3.100.41–6.10
Yellow cards
38%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.452.595.04safe1.40–3.501.46–3.722.86–7.22safer1.14–3.771.17–4.012.31–7.78
Red cards
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.150.29safe0.00–0.300.00–0.330.00–0.64safer0.00–0.450.00–0.470.00–0.92
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.972.955.91safe1.53–4.411.39–4.502.92–8.91safer1.15–4.790.96–4.932.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.58 | 1.34 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.42 | 2.70 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.39 2.52–6.25 2.03–6.74 | 4.34 2.60–6.09 2.13–6.55 | 8.73 5.12–12.33 4.17–13.29 | 44% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 12.47 8.55–16.40 7.46–17.49 | 13.13 9.57–16.70 8.61–17.66 | 25.61 18.12–33.09 16.07–35.15 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.07 5.13–11.01 4.30–11.84 | 8.39 5.71–11.07 4.97–11.81 | 16.46 10.84–22.08 9.27–23.65 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.29–5.05 0.74–5.60 | 3.38 1.73–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 6.55 3.02–10.09 1.98–11.12 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.58–7.00 2.00–7.58 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.25–7.32 | 9.57 5.36–13.79 4.25–14.89 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 52.50 45.71–59.29 44.04–60.96 | 47.71 40.92–54.49 39.25–56.16 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–516 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 825 691–959 656–994 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.71 76.68–84.74 75.39–86.03 | 80.57 76.25–84.90 74.94–86.20 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 12.11 9.28–14.95 8.52–15.71 | 13.31 10.37–16.26 9.62–17.00 | 25.42 19.64–31.21 18.14–32.71 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.72 0.62–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.45 1.40–3.50 1.14–3.77 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 5.04 2.86–7.22 2.31–7.78 | 38% 18% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 76% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.53–4.41 1.15–4.79 | 2.95 1.39–4.50 0.96–4.93 | 5.91 2.92–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+