Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.100.913.01safe1.13–3.070.05–1.761.18–4.83safer0.88–3.320.00–1.990.70–5.31
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.683.389.06safe3.82–7.541.63–5.125.45–12.66safer3.33–8.031.17–5.584.50–13.62
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.939.7425.67safe12.00–19.856.17–13.3018.18–33.15safer10.91–20.955.21–14.2616.13–35.20
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.316.0416.35safe7.37–13.263.36–8.7210.73–21.97safer6.54–14.082.62–9.459.16–23.54
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.506.82safe2.44–6.200.84–4.153.28–10.35safer1.89–6.740.35–4.642.25–11.39
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.833.669.49safe3.62–8.041.66–5.665.27–13.70safer3.04–8.621.12–6.194.16–14.81
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.6541.64safe51.86–65.4434.85–48.42safer50.19–67.1133.18–50.10
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction514358872safe447–582291–424738–1006safer429–600274–442703–1041
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction86.8480.43safe82.81–90.8676.11–84.76safer81.51–92.1674.80–86.07
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1612.6925.84safe10.32–15.999.74–15.6320.06–31.62safer9.56–16.758.99–16.3818.55–33.13
Offsides
17%
17%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.724.06safe0.18–2.501.62–3.811.80–6.31safer0.00–2.801.34–4.101.21–6.90
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.524.44safe0.88–2.971.39–3.652.26–6.62safer0.61–3.241.10–3.941.71–7.18
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.140.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.706.04safe0.90–3.782.14–5.263.05–9.03safer0.52–4.161.72–5.682.24–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.07 0.88–3.32 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.01 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.68 3.82–7.54 3.33–8.03 | 3.38 1.63–5.12 1.17–5.58 | 9.06 5.45–12.66 4.50–13.62 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 15.93 12.00–19.85 10.91–20.95 | 9.74 6.17–13.30 5.21–14.26 | 25.67 18.18–33.15 16.13–35.20 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.31 7.37–13.26 6.54–14.08 | 6.04 3.36–8.72 2.62–9.45 | 16.35 10.73–21.97 9.16–23.54 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 2.50 0.84–4.15 0.35–4.64 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.25–11.39 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.62–8.04 3.04–8.62 | 3.66 1.66–5.66 1.12–6.19 | 9.49 5.27–13.70 4.16–14.81 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 58.65 51.86–65.44 50.19–67.11 | 41.64 34.85–48.42 33.18–50.10 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 514 447–582 429–600 | 358 291–424 274–442 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.84 82.81–90.86 81.51–92.16 | 80.43 76.11–84.76 74.80–86.07 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 13.16 10.32–15.99 9.56–16.75 | 12.69 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 25.84 20.06–31.62 18.55–33.13 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 2.72 1.62–3.81 1.34–4.10 | 4.06 1.80–6.31 1.21–6.90 | 17% 17% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.88–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.44 2.26–6.62 1.71–7.18 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.78 0.52–4.16 | 3.70 2.14–5.26 1.72–5.68 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.24–9.84 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+