Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.782.95safe0.20–2.140.93–2.631.13–4.77safer0.00–2.390.70–2.860.65–5.25
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.904.978.87safe2.04–5.763.23–6.725.27–12.48safer1.55–6.252.77–7.184.31–13.43
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6514.9926.64safe7.73–15.5811.43–18.5519.15–34.13safer6.64–16.6710.47–19.5117.10–36.18
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.389.6917.07safe4.44–10.327.00–12.3711.44–22.69safer3.61–11.156.27–13.109.88–24.26
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.796.95safe1.27–5.042.14–5.453.41–10.48safer0.73–5.581.65–5.942.38–11.52
Corners
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.165.099.25safe1.95–6.373.09–7.095.03–13.46safer1.37–6.952.55–7.623.93–14.57
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.1957.32safe35.40–48.9850.53–64.10safer33.73–50.6548.86–65.78
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction357470826safe289–424403–536692–960safer271–442386–554657–995
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction79.5985.62safe75.56–83.6281.30–89.94safer74.26–84.9179.99–91.25
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1213.0125.13safe9.28–14.9610.07–15.9619.35–30.91safer8.53–15.719.32–16.7017.84–32.42
Offsides
65%
17%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.721.434.15safe1.56–3.880.34–2.531.90–6.41safer1.26–4.180.05–2.811.31–7.00
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.014.15safe1.09–3.190.89–3.141.97–6.33safer0.82–3.450.59–3.431.42–6.89
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.120.26safe0.00–0.300.00–0.310.00–0.60safer0.00–0.450.00–0.440.00–0.89
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.705.95safe1.82–4.691.14–4.252.96–8.94safer1.43–5.080.71–4.682.14–9.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.78 0.93–2.63 0.70–2.86 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.04–5.76 1.55–6.25 | 4.97 3.23–6.72 2.77–7.18 | 8.87 5.27–12.48 4.31–13.43 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 11.65 7.73–15.58 6.64–16.67 | 14.99 11.43–18.55 10.47–19.51 | 26.64 19.15–34.13 17.10–36.18 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.38 4.44–10.32 3.61–11.15 | 9.69 7.00–12.37 6.27–13.10 | 17.07 11.44–22.69 9.88–24.26 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.27–5.04 0.73–5.58 | 3.79 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 6.95 3.41–10.48 2.38–11.52 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.95–6.37 1.37–6.95 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.55–7.62 | 9.25 5.03–13.46 3.93–14.57 | 32% 55% |
| Possession % | 42.19 35.40–48.98 33.73–50.65 | 57.32 50.53–64.10 48.86–65.78 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 357 289–424 271–442 | 470 403–536 386–554 | 826 692–960 657–995 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.59 75.56–83.62 74.26–84.91 | 85.62 81.30–89.94 79.99–91.25 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 12.12 9.28–14.96 8.53–15.71 | 13.01 10.07–15.96 9.32–16.70 | 25.13 19.35–30.91 17.84–32.42 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.72 1.56–3.88 1.26–4.18 | 1.43 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.81 | 4.15 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 65% 17% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.82–3.45 | 2.01 0.89–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 4.15 1.97–6.33 1.42–6.89 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.82–4.69 1.43–5.08 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.71–4.68 | 5.95 2.96–8.94 2.14–9.75 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

