Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.082.84safe0.79–2.730.23–1.941.02–4.67safer0.54–2.980.00–2.170.54–5.15
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.569.47safe4.04–7.771.82–5.305.86–13.07safer3.55–8.261.35–5.774.91–14.03
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1310.1127.24safe13.20–21.056.55–13.6719.75–34.72safer12.11–22.145.59–14.6317.70–36.77
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.956.6817.64safe8.01–13.904.00–9.3712.02–23.26safer7.18–14.733.27–10.1010.45–24.83
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.302.767.06safe2.41–6.181.11–4.413.52–10.59safer1.87–6.720.61–4.902.49–11.63
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.113.779.88safe3.90–8.321.77–5.775.66–14.09safer3.32–8.901.23–6.304.56–15.20
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction57.9641.44safe51.17–64.7534.66–48.23safer49.50–66.4232.99–49.90
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction498366864safe430–565300–433730–998safer412–583282–450695–1033
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction85.9180.63safe81.88–89.9476.31–84.96safer80.59–91.2375.00–86.27
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7312.3926.12safe10.89–16.579.45–15.3320.34–31.90safer10.14–17.328.70–16.0818.83–33.41
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.653.28safe0.47–2.790.56–2.741.02–5.53safer0.16–3.090.27–3.030.44–6.12
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.113.97safe0.81–2.910.98–3.241.79–6.15safer0.55–3.180.69–3.531.23–6.71
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.534.316.84safe1.10–3.972.75–5.863.85–9.83safer0.71–4.362.33–6.293.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.91 4.04–7.77 3.55–8.26 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 9.47 5.86–13.07 4.91–14.03 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.13 13.20–21.05 12.11–22.14 | 10.11 6.55–13.67 5.59–14.63 | 27.24 19.75–34.72 17.70–36.77 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.18–14.73 | 6.68 4.00–9.37 3.27–10.10 | 17.64 12.02–23.26 10.45–24.83 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.41–6.18 1.87–6.72 | 2.76 1.11–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 7.06 3.52–10.59 2.49–11.63 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.11 3.90–8.32 3.32–8.90 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.23–6.30 | 9.88 5.66–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 57.96 51.17–64.75 49.50–66.42 | 41.44 34.66–48.23 32.99–49.90 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 498 430–565 412–583 | 366 300–433 282–450 | 864 730–998 695–1033 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.91 81.88–89.94 80.59–91.23 | 80.63 76.31–84.96 75.00–86.27 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 13.73 10.89–16.57 10.14–17.32 | 12.39 9.45–15.33 8.70–16.08 | 26.12 20.34–31.90 18.83–33.41 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 1.65 0.56–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.28 1.02–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.23–6.71 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 4.31 2.75–5.86 2.33–6.29 | 6.84 3.85–9.83 3.03–10.64 | 19% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.