Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.652.96safe0.34–2.280.80–2.511.14–4.78safer0.09–2.530.57–2.730.66–5.26
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.175.099.26safe2.31–6.033.34–6.835.65–12.86safer1.82–6.522.88–7.304.70–13.82
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5114.0326.54safe8.59–16.4410.46–17.5919.05–34.03safer7.50–17.539.50–18.5517.00–36.08
Shots in box
36%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction7.688.6116.29safe4.74–10.625.93–11.2910.67–21.91safer3.91–11.455.19–12.039.10–23.48
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.777.23safe1.58–5.352.11–5.423.70–10.77safer1.04–5.891.62–5.912.66–11.80
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.445.259.69safe2.23–6.663.25–7.255.47–13.90safer1.66–7.232.71–7.784.37–15.01
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.0554.35safe39.26–52.8447.57–61.14safer37.59–54.5145.90–62.81
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction392464856safe325–459398–531723–990safer306–477380–548687–1026
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction81.9685.49safe77.93–85.9981.17–89.82safer76.64–87.2879.86–91.13
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1013.9725.07safe8.26–13.9311.02–16.9119.28–30.85safer7.50–14.6910.28–17.6617.78–32.35
Offsides
47%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.463.30safe0.68–3.000.36–2.551.05–5.56safer0.38–3.310.08–2.840.46–6.14
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.244.05safe0.76–2.861.11–3.371.87–6.23safer0.49–3.130.82–3.661.31–6.79
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.886.34safe2.03–4.901.33–4.443.35–9.34safer1.64–5.290.90–4.862.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.65 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.73 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 30% 24% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 5.09 3.34–6.83 2.88–7.30 | 9.26 5.65–12.86 4.70–13.82 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.51 8.59–16.44 7.50–17.53 | 14.03 10.46–17.59 9.50–18.55 | 26.54 19.05–34.03 17.00–36.08 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.68 4.74–10.62 3.91–11.45 | 8.61 5.93–11.29 5.19–12.03 | 16.29 10.67–21.91 9.10–23.48 | 36% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.58–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 3.77 2.11–5.42 1.62–5.91 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.23–6.66 1.66–7.23 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.71–7.78 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 46.05 39.26–52.84 37.59–54.51 | 54.35 47.57–61.14 45.90–62.81 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 392 325–459 306–477 | 464 398–531 380–548 | 856 723–990 687–1026 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.96 77.93–85.99 76.64–87.28 | 85.49 81.17–89.82 79.86–91.13 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.93 7.50–14.69 | 13.97 11.02–16.91 10.28–17.66 | 25.07 19.28–30.85 17.78–32.35 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.31 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.30 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.14 | 47% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.13 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.31–6.79 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.03–4.90 1.64–5.29 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.34 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+