Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.032.28safe0.28–2.220.18–1.890.46–4.10safer0.03–2.470.00–2.110.00–4.58
Shots on target
50%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.637.80safe2.31–6.031.89–5.374.19–11.40safer1.82–6.521.42–5.843.24–12.36
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3311.7024.04safe8.41–16.268.14–15.2716.55–31.52safer7.32–17.357.18–16.2314.50–33.57
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.176.5314.71safe5.23–11.113.85–9.219.08–20.33safer4.40–11.943.12–9.957.52–21.90
Blocked shots
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.735.97safe1.36–5.131.07–4.382.44–9.51safer0.82–5.670.58–4.871.40–10.54
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.903.998.89safe2.69–7.121.99–5.994.68–13.11safer2.12–7.691.46–6.523.57–14.21
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.1950.10safe43.40–56.9843.32–56.89safer41.73–58.6541.65–58.56
Passes
45%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction415429845safe348–483363–495711–978safer330–501345–513675–1014
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction83.2783.40safe79.24–87.3079.07–87.72safer77.95–88.5977.76–89.03
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8212.4827.30safe11.98–17.669.54–15.4321.52–33.08safer11.23–18.418.79–16.1720.02–34.59
Offsides
60%
19%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.361.363.71safe1.20–3.520.26–2.451.46–5.97safer0.90–3.820.00–2.740.87–6.56
Yellow cards
33%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.174.01safe0.79–2.891.04–3.301.83–6.19safer0.53–3.160.75–3.591.27–6.75
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
38%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.835.49safe1.22–4.101.28–4.392.50–8.49safer0.84–4.480.85–4.821.69–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.11 | 2.28 0.46–4.10 0.00–4.58 | 41% 28% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 3.63 1.89–5.37 1.42–5.84 | 7.80 4.19–11.40 3.24–12.36 | 50% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 12.33 8.41–16.26 7.32–17.35 | 11.70 8.14–15.27 7.18–16.23 | 24.04 16.55–31.52 14.50–33.57 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.17 5.23–11.11 4.40–11.94 | 6.53 3.85–9.21 3.12–9.95 | 14.71 9.08–20.33 7.52–21.90 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 2.73 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 5.97 2.44–9.51 1.40–10.54 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Corners | 4.90 2.69–7.12 2.12–7.69 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.52 | 8.89 4.68–13.11 3.57–14.21 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 50.19 43.40–56.98 41.73–58.65 | 50.10 43.32–56.89 41.65–58.56 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 415 348–483 330–501 | 429 363–495 345–513 | 845 711–978 675–1014 | 45% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.27 79.24–87.30 77.95–88.59 | 83.40 79.07–87.72 77.76–89.03 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 14.82 11.98–17.66 11.23–18.41 | 12.48 9.54–15.43 8.79–16.17 | 27.30 21.52–33.08 20.02–34.59 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.36 1.20–3.52 0.90–3.82 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 60% 19% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.01 1.83–6.19 1.27–6.75 | 33% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.10 0.84–4.48 | 2.83 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.82 | 5.49 2.50–8.49 1.69–9.30 | 38% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+