Süper Lig·Regular Season - 25·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
28%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.132.39safe0.30–2.230.27–1.980.57–4.21safer0.05–2.480.04–2.210.09–4.69
Shots on target
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.538.12safe2.73–6.461.78–5.274.52–11.73safer2.24–6.951.32–5.743.56–12.68
Total shots
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0210.5724.59safe10.10–17.957.00–14.1317.10–32.08safer9.01–19.046.05–15.0915.05–34.13
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction7.886.6114.48safe4.93–10.823.93–9.298.86–20.11safer4.10–11.653.19–10.037.29–21.67
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.722.936.66safe1.84–5.601.28–4.593.12–10.19safer1.30–6.150.79–5.082.08–11.23
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.059.06safe2.80–7.232.05–6.054.85–13.28safer2.23–7.801.52–6.583.74–14.38
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction52.6946.03safe45.90–59.4839.25–52.82safer44.23–61.1537.57–54.49
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction436383819safe368–503317–450685–953safer350–521299–467650–988
Pass accuracy %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction83.6280.82safe79.59–87.6576.50–85.14safer78.30–88.9475.19–86.45
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5014.4826.98safe9.66–15.3411.54–17.4321.20–32.77safer8.91–16.0910.79–18.1819.70–34.27
Offsides
24%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.193.59safe0.25–2.571.09–3.281.34–5.85safer0.00–2.870.81–3.570.75–6.44
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.053.84safe0.74–2.840.92–3.181.66–6.02safer0.48–3.110.63–3.471.10–6.58
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.365.86safe1.06–3.941.80–4.912.87–8.85safer0.68–4.321.38–5.342.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.48 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.39 0.57–4.21 0.09–4.69 | 40% 28% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.73–6.46 2.24–6.95 | 3.53 1.78–5.27 1.32–5.74 | 8.12 4.52–11.73 3.56–12.68 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.02 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.04 | 10.57 7.00–14.13 6.05–15.09 | 24.59 17.10–32.08 15.05–34.13 | 72% 21% |
| Shots in box | 7.88 4.93–10.82 4.10–11.65 | 6.61 3.93–9.29 3.19–10.03 | 14.48 8.86–20.11 7.29–21.67 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.60 1.30–6.15 | 2.93 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 6.66 3.12–10.19 2.08–11.23 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.80 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.52–6.58 | 9.06 4.85–13.28 3.74–14.38 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 52.69 45.90–59.48 44.23–61.15 | 46.03 39.25–52.82 37.57–54.49 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 436 368–503 350–521 | 383 317–450 299–467 | 819 685–953 650–988 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.62 79.59–87.65 78.30–88.94 | 80.82 76.50–85.14 75.19–86.45 | — | 62% 34% |
| Fouls | 12.50 9.66–15.34 8.91–16.09 | 14.48 11.54–17.43 10.79–18.18 | 26.98 21.20–32.77 19.70–34.27 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 2.19 1.09–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 24% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.58 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.94 0.68–4.32 | 3.36 1.80–4.91 1.38–5.34 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.