Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.040.782.82safe1.07–3.010.00–1.631.00–4.64safer0.82–3.260.00–1.860.52–5.12
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.392.979.36safe4.53–8.261.22–4.715.76–12.97safer4.04–8.750.76–5.184.80–13.92
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.268.4325.69safe13.33–21.184.87–12.0018.20–33.18safer12.24–22.273.91–12.9516.15–35.23
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.105.2917.40safe9.16–15.052.61–7.9811.77–23.02safer8.33–15.871.88–8.7110.21–24.59
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.196.60safe2.53–6.290.54–3.843.07–10.14safer1.99–6.840.05–4.342.03–11.17
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.573.4310.00safe4.36–8.791.43–5.435.79–14.21safer3.79–9.360.89–5.964.68–15.32
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.9136.73safe57.12–70.7029.95–43.52safer55.45–72.3728.28–45.19
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction555322876safe487–622255–388742–1010safer469–640238–405707–1045
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction83.5373.78safe79.50–87.5569.45–78.10safer78.20–88.8568.14–79.41
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3212.7225.04safe9.48–15.169.77–15.6619.26–30.82safer8.73–15.919.03–16.4117.75–32.33
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.523.47safe0.79–3.110.43–2.611.21–5.72safer0.49–3.410.14–2.900.62–6.31
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.414.11safe0.65–2.751.28–3.541.93–6.29safer0.38–3.020.99–3.831.37–6.85
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.044.326.36safe0.61–3.482.76–5.883.37–9.36safer0.22–3.872.34–6.302.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 0.78 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 67% 20% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.39 4.53–8.26 4.04–8.75 | 2.97 1.22–4.71 0.76–5.18 | 9.36 5.76–12.97 4.80–13.92 | 83% |
| Total shots | 17.26 13.33–21.18 12.24–22.27 | 8.43 4.87–12.00 3.91–12.95 | 25.69 18.20–33.18 16.15–35.23 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.10 9.16–15.05 8.33–15.87 | 5.29 2.61–7.98 1.88–8.71 | 17.40 11.77–23.02 10.21–24.59 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.29 1.99–6.84 | 2.19 0.54–3.84 0.05–4.34 | 6.60 3.07–10.14 2.03–11.17 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.57 4.36–8.79 3.79–9.36 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.89–5.96 | 10.00 5.79–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 80% |
| Possession % | 63.91 57.12–70.70 55.45–72.37 | 36.73 29.95–43.52 28.28–45.19 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 555 487–622 469–640 | 322 255–388 238–405 | 876 742–1010 707–1045 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.53 79.50–87.55 78.20–88.85 | 73.78 69.45–78.10 68.14–79.41 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.32 9.48–15.16 8.73–15.91 | 12.72 9.77–15.66 9.03–16.41 | 25.04 19.26–30.82 17.75–32.33 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.02 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.11 1.93–6.29 1.37–6.85 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 4.32 2.76–5.88 2.34–6.30 | 6.36 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.