Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.993.07safe0.11–2.051.14–2.851.25–4.90safer0.00–2.300.91–3.080.77–5.37
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.345.488.81safe1.47–5.203.73–7.225.21–12.42safer0.98–5.693.27–7.684.25–13.37
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3914.8925.28safe6.47–14.3211.32–18.4517.79–32.77safer5.38–15.4110.36–19.4115.74–34.82
Shots in box
22%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction6.779.4216.19safe3.83–9.716.74–12.1010.57–21.82safer3.00–10.546.00–12.849.00–23.38
Blocked shots
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.946.85safe1.03–4.802.28–5.593.32–10.39safer0.49–5.341.79–6.082.28–11.42
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.155.449.58safe1.94–6.363.44–7.445.37–13.80safer1.36–6.942.90–7.974.26–14.90
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.0361.25safe31.24–44.8254.47–68.04safer29.57–46.4952.80–69.71
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction326505831safe259–393438–571697–964safer241–411421–589661–1000
Pass accuracy %
15%
81%
homeawayprediction74.9382.36safe70.90–78.9678.03–86.68safer69.61–80.2576.72–87.99
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2212.6825.90safe10.38–16.069.73–15.6220.11–31.68safer9.62–16.818.99–16.3718.61–33.18
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.733.28safe0.39–2.710.63–2.821.03–5.53safer0.09–3.010.35–3.110.44–6.12
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.284.30safe0.97–3.071.15–3.412.12–6.47safer0.70–3.340.86–3.701.56–7.03
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.425.88safe2.02–4.900.86–3.972.88–8.87safer1.64–5.280.44–4.402.07–9.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 1.99 1.14–2.85 0.91–3.08 | 3.07 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.37 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.34 1.47–5.20 0.98–5.69 | 5.48 3.73–7.22 3.27–7.68 | 8.81 5.21–12.42 4.25–13.37 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.39 6.47–14.32 5.38–15.41 | 14.89 11.32–18.45 10.36–19.41 | 25.28 17.79–32.77 15.74–34.82 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.77 3.83–9.71 3.00–10.54 | 9.42 6.74–12.10 6.00–12.84 | 16.19 10.57–21.82 9.00–23.38 | 22% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 2.92 1.03–4.80 0.49–5.34 | 3.94 2.28–5.59 1.79–6.08 | 6.85 3.32–10.39 2.28–11.42 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.15 1.94–6.36 1.36–6.94 | 5.44 3.44–7.44 2.90–7.97 | 9.58 5.37–13.80 4.26–14.90 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 38.03 31.24–44.82 29.57–46.49 | 61.25 54.47–68.04 52.80–69.71 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 326 259–393 241–411 | 505 438–571 421–589 | 831 697–964 661–1000 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.93 70.90–78.96 69.61–80.25 | 82.36 78.03–86.68 76.72–87.99 | — | 15% 81% |
| Fouls | 13.22 10.38–16.06 9.62–16.81 | 12.68 9.73–15.62 8.99–16.37 | 25.90 20.11–31.68 18.61–33.18 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.34 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.30 2.12–6.47 1.56–7.03 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.02–4.90 1.64–5.28 | 2.42 0.86–3.97 0.44–4.40 | 5.88 2.88–8.87 2.07–9.68 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

