Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.782.763.54safe0.00–1.741.91–3.621.71–5.36safer0.00–1.991.68–3.841.23–5.84
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.197.3910.58safe1.33–5.055.65–9.136.98–14.19safer0.84–5.545.18–9.606.02–15.14
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7318.8628.59safe5.80–13.6515.30–22.4321.10–36.08safer4.71–14.7414.34–23.3919.05–38.13
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction5.7212.8918.61safe2.78–8.6610.21–15.5712.98–24.23safer1.95–9.499.47–16.3111.42–25.80
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.475.097.56safe0.59–4.353.44–6.744.02–11.09safer0.04–4.892.95–7.242.99–12.13
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.306.559.84safe1.08–5.514.55–8.555.63–14.06safer0.51–6.084.02–9.084.52–15.16
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction36.1163.23safe29.32–42.9056.45–70.02safer27.65–44.5754.78–71.69
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction295515810safe228–362449–582677–944safer210–381431–599641–980
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction73.5885.48safe69.55–77.6181.15–89.80safer68.25–78.9079.85–91.11
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0312.1124.14safe9.20–14.879.16–15.0518.36–29.92safer8.44–15.638.41–15.8016.85–31.43
Offsides
57%
19%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.541.654.20safe1.38–3.700.56–2.751.94–6.45safer1.08–4.010.27–3.041.36–7.04
Yellow cards
53%
19%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.511.834.34safe1.46–3.560.70–2.962.16–6.52safer1.19–3.820.41–3.251.60–7.07
Red cards
19%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction0.230.090.32safe0.07–0.390.00–0.280.00–0.67safer0.00–0.540.00–0.410.00–0.95
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.822.267.08safe3.39–6.260.70–3.824.09–10.07safer3.00–6.650.28–4.243.28–10.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.78 0.00–1.74 0.00–1.99 | 2.76 1.91–3.62 1.68–3.84 | 3.54 1.71–5.36 1.23–5.84 | 13% 79% |
| Shots on target | 3.19 1.33–5.05 0.84–5.54 | 7.39 5.65–9.13 5.18–9.60 | 10.58 6.98–14.19 6.02–15.14 | 88% |
| Total shots | 9.73 5.80–13.65 4.71–14.74 | 18.86 15.30–22.43 14.34–23.39 | 28.59 21.10–36.08 19.05–38.13 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 5.72 2.78–8.66 1.95–9.49 | 12.89 10.21–15.57 9.47–16.31 | 18.61 12.98–24.23 11.42–25.80 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.47 0.59–4.35 0.04–4.89 | 5.09 3.44–6.74 2.95–7.24 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.99–12.13 | 78% |
| Corners | 3.30 1.08–5.51 0.51–6.08 | 6.55 4.55–8.55 4.02–9.08 | 9.84 5.63–14.06 4.52–15.16 | 81% |
| Possession % | 36.11 29.32–42.90 27.65–44.57 | 63.23 56.45–70.02 54.78–71.69 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 295 228–362 210–381 | 515 449–582 431–599 | 810 677–944 641–980 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.58 69.55–77.61 68.25–78.90 | 85.48 81.15–89.80 79.85–91.11 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.03 9.20–14.87 8.44–15.63 | 12.11 9.16–15.05 8.41–15.80 | 24.14 18.36–29.92 16.85–31.43 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.54 1.38–3.70 1.08–4.01 | 1.65 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 4.20 1.94–6.45 1.36–7.04 | 57% 19% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.51 1.46–3.56 1.19–3.82 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 4.34 2.16–6.52 1.60–7.07 | 53% 19% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.23 0.07–0.39 0.00–0.54 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 19% 74% |
| GK saves | 4.82 3.39–6.26 3.00–6.65 | 2.26 0.70–3.82 0.28–4.24 | 7.08 4.09–10.07 3.28–10.89 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+