Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.950.663.61safe1.98–3.920.00–1.521.79–5.43safer1.73–4.170.00–1.741.31–5.91
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction7.942.4010.34safe6.08–9.800.65–4.146.73–13.94safer5.59–10.290.19–4.615.78–14.90
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.277.6329.91safe18.35–26.204.07–11.1922.42–37.39safer17.26–27.293.11–12.1520.37–39.44
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.223.9819.20safe12.28–18.161.30–6.6613.58–24.82safer11.45–18.990.56–7.4012.01–26.39
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.591.997.58safe3.71–7.470.33–3.644.04–11.11safer3.16–8.010.00–4.133.01–12.15
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.902.4610.37safe5.69–10.120.46–4.466.15–14.58safer5.12–10.690.00–5.005.05–15.69
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.1934.16safe59.40–72.9827.38–40.95safer57.73–74.6525.71–42.62
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction581296876safe513–648229–362743–1010safer495–666212–380707–1046
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction88.2774.87safe84.24–92.3070.55–79.19safer82.95–93.5969.24–80.50
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0812.1824.25safe9.24–14.919.23–15.1218.47–30.04safer8.48–15.678.49–15.8716.97–31.54
Offsides
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.273.77safe0.33–2.651.18–3.371.51–6.02safer0.03–2.950.89–3.660.92–6.61
Yellow cards
20%
19%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.393.70safe0.27–2.361.26–3.521.53–5.88safer0.00–2.630.97–3.810.97–6.44
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.140.18safe0.00–0.200.00–0.330.00–0.52safer0.00–0.350.00–0.460.00–0.81
GK saves
87%
homeawaytotalprediction1.835.197.01safe0.39–3.263.63–6.744.02–10.00safer0.00–3.653.20–7.173.21–10.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.95 1.98–3.92 1.73–4.17 | 0.66 0.00–1.52 0.00–1.74 | 3.61 1.79–5.43 1.31–5.91 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 7.94 6.08–9.80 5.59–10.29 | 2.40 0.65–4.14 0.19–4.61 | 10.34 6.73–13.94 5.78–14.90 | 95% |
| Total shots | 22.27 18.35–26.20 17.26–27.29 | 7.63 4.07–11.19 3.11–12.15 | 29.91 22.42–37.39 20.37–39.44 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.22 12.28–18.16 11.45–18.99 | 3.98 1.30–6.66 0.56–7.40 | 19.20 13.58–24.82 12.01–26.39 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.59 3.71–7.47 3.16–8.01 | 1.99 0.33–3.64 0.00–4.13 | 7.58 4.04–11.11 3.01–12.15 | 88% |
| Corners | 7.90 5.69–10.12 5.12–10.69 | 2.46 0.46–4.46 0.00–5.00 | 10.37 6.15–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 94% |
| Possession % | 66.19 59.40–72.98 57.73–74.65 | 34.16 27.38–40.95 25.71–42.62 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 581 513–648 495–666 | 296 229–362 212–380 | 876 743–1010 707–1046 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.27 84.24–92.30 82.95–93.59 | 74.87 70.55–79.19 69.24–80.50 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.08 9.24–14.91 8.48–15.67 | 12.18 9.23–15.12 8.49–15.87 | 24.25 18.47–30.04 16.97–31.54 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 2.27 1.18–3.37 0.89–3.66 | 3.77 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.27–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 3.70 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 20% 19% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.83 0.39–3.26 0.00–3.65 | 5.19 3.63–6.74 3.20–7.17 | 7.01 4.02–10.00 3.21–10.82 | 87% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

