Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
28%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.172.34safe0.20–2.130.32–2.030.52–4.16safer0.00–2.380.09–2.260.04–4.64
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.033.877.91safe2.17–5.902.13–5.624.30–11.51safer1.68–6.391.67–6.083.35–12.47
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1611.5924.75safe9.23–17.088.03–15.1517.26–32.24safer8.14–18.187.07–16.1115.21–34.29
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction7.596.6214.21safe4.65–10.533.94–9.308.59–19.84safer3.82–11.363.20–10.047.02–21.40
Blocked shots
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.886.28safe1.51–5.281.23–4.532.74–9.81safer0.97–5.820.73–5.021.70–10.85
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.529.68safe2.95–7.372.52–6.525.47–13.90safer2.37–7.951.99–7.064.36–15.00
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction43.9056.03safe37.11–50.6949.24–62.81safer35.44–52.3647.57–64.48
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction383498882safe316–451432–565748–1016safer298–469414–582712–1051
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction80.3384.61safe76.30–84.3680.29–88.94safer75.01–85.6578.98–90.25
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2112.5126.72safe11.37–17.059.56–15.4520.93–32.50safer10.62–17.808.81–16.2019.43–34.00
Offsides
30%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.723.05safe0.17–2.490.63–2.810.80–5.30safer0.00–2.790.34–3.100.21–5.89
Yellow cards
43%
19%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.364.86safe1.45–3.551.23–3.492.68–7.04safer1.18–3.810.94–3.782.12–7.59
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.532.925.45safe1.09–3.961.36–4.482.46–8.44safer0.70–4.350.94–4.901.64–9.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.34 0.52–4.16 0.04–4.64 | 36% 28% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.03 2.17–5.90 1.68–6.39 | 3.87 2.13–5.62 1.67–6.08 | 7.91 4.30–11.51 3.35–12.47 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.16 9.23–17.08 8.14–18.18 | 11.59 8.03–15.15 7.07–16.11 | 24.75 17.26–32.24 15.21–34.29 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 7.59 4.65–10.53 3.82–11.36 | 6.62 3.94–9.30 3.20–10.04 | 14.21 8.59–19.84 7.02–21.40 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.51–5.28 0.97–5.82 | 2.88 1.23–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 6.28 2.74–9.81 1.70–10.85 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.95–7.37 2.37–7.95 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.99–7.06 | 9.68 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.00 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 43.90 37.11–50.69 35.44–52.36 | 56.03 49.24–62.81 47.57–64.48 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 383 316–451 298–469 | 498 432–565 414–582 | 882 748–1016 712–1051 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.33 76.30–84.36 75.01–85.65 | 84.61 80.29–88.94 78.98–90.25 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 14.21 11.37–17.05 10.62–17.80 | 12.51 9.56–15.45 8.81–16.20 | 26.72 20.93–32.50 19.43–34.00 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 1.72 0.63–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 30% 24% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.50 1.45–3.55 1.18–3.81 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 4.86 2.68–7.04 2.12–7.59 | 43% 19% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 2.92 1.36–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 5.45 2.46–8.44 1.64–9.25 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+