Süper Lig·Regular Season - 25·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.032.41safe0.41–2.340.18–1.890.59–4.23safer0.16–2.600.00–2.120.11–4.71
Shots on target
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.528.00safe2.61–6.341.78–5.274.39–11.60safer2.12–6.831.32–5.733.44–12.56
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8911.1725.05safe9.96–17.817.60–14.7317.56–32.54safer8.87–18.906.64–15.6915.51–34.59
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction8.706.4815.19safe5.76–11.653.80–9.179.56–20.81safer4.93–12.473.07–9.908.00–22.38
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.712.976.68safe1.83–5.591.31–4.623.14–10.22safer1.29–6.140.82–5.112.11–11.25
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.059.58safe3.32–7.742.05–6.055.36–13.79safer2.74–8.321.52–6.584.26–14.90
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.3242.65safe50.53–64.1135.87–49.44safer48.86–65.7834.20–51.11
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction508380887safe440–575313–446754–1021safer422–593296–464718–1057
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction85.2280.44safe81.19–89.2576.12–84.77safer79.90–90.5474.81–86.08
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7114.1826.89safe9.87–15.5511.24–17.1321.11–32.67safer9.11–16.3010.49–17.8719.60–34.18
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.233.11safe0.73–3.050.13–2.320.86–5.37safer0.43–3.350.00–2.610.27–5.96
Yellow cards
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.464.44safe0.93–3.031.33–3.582.26–6.62safer0.67–3.301.04–3.881.70–7.17
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.045.56safe1.08–3.961.48–4.602.57–8.55safer0.70–4.341.06–5.021.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.34 0.16–2.60 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.41 0.59–4.23 0.11–4.71 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.61–6.34 2.12–6.83 | 3.52 1.78–5.27 1.32–5.73 | 8.00 4.39–11.60 3.44–12.56 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.89 9.96–17.81 8.87–18.90 | 11.17 7.60–14.73 6.64–15.69 | 25.05 17.56–32.54 15.51–34.59 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.47 | 6.48 3.80–9.17 3.07–9.90 | 15.19 9.56–20.81 8.00–22.38 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.59 1.29–6.14 | 2.97 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 6.68 3.14–10.22 2.11–11.25 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.53 3.32–7.74 2.74–8.32 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.52–6.58 | 9.58 5.36–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 57.32 50.53–64.11 48.86–65.78 | 42.65 35.87–49.44 34.20–51.11 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 508 440–575 422–593 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.22 81.19–89.25 79.90–90.54 | 80.44 76.12–84.77 74.81–86.08 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 12.71 9.87–15.55 9.11–16.30 | 14.18 11.24–17.13 10.49–17.87 | 26.89 21.11–32.67 19.60–34.18 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.23 0.13–2.32 0.00–2.61 | 3.11 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 2.46 1.33–3.58 1.04–3.88 | 4.44 2.26–6.62 1.70–7.17 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.08–3.96 0.70–4.34 | 3.04 1.48–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.56 2.57–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+