Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.072.39safe0.35–2.290.22–1.930.57–4.22safer0.10–2.540.00–2.160.09–4.70
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.708.12safe2.55–6.281.96–5.454.51–11.72safer2.06–6.771.50–5.913.56–12.68
Total shots
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9612.7426.70safe10.04–17.899.17–16.3019.21–34.19safer8.95–18.988.21–17.2617.16–36.24
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.727.9716.70safe5.78–11.665.29–10.6511.07–22.32safer4.95–12.494.56–11.399.51–23.89
Blocked shots
40%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.657.16safe1.63–5.401.99–5.303.63–10.70safer1.09–5.941.50–5.792.59–11.73
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.7510.06safe3.10–7.522.75–6.755.85–14.28safer2.52–8.102.22–7.294.74–15.38
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction59.1040.98safe52.31–65.8934.20–47.77safer50.64–67.5632.53–49.44
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction458296754safe391–526230–362621–888safer373–544212–380585–924
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction79.8271.36safe75.79–83.8567.03–75.68safer74.49–85.1465.72–76.99
Fouls
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0615.4826.54safe8.22–13.9012.53–18.4220.76–32.32safer7.47–14.6511.78–19.1719.25–33.82
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.433.00safe0.40–2.720.34–2.530.74–5.25safer0.10–3.020.05–2.820.15–5.84
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.474.28safe0.76–2.861.34–3.602.10–6.45safer0.49–3.121.05–3.891.54–7.01
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.015.80safe1.35–4.221.45–4.562.80–8.79safer0.96–4.611.03–4.991.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.39 0.57–4.22 0.09–4.70 | 42% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.28 2.06–6.77 | 3.70 1.96–5.45 1.50–5.91 | 8.12 4.51–11.72 3.56–12.68 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.96 10.04–17.89 8.95–18.98 | 12.74 9.17–16.30 8.21–17.26 | 26.70 19.21–34.19 17.16–36.24 | 56% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.72 5.78–11.66 4.95–12.49 | 7.97 5.29–10.65 4.56–11.39 | 16.70 11.07–22.32 9.51–23.89 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 3.65 1.99–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.16 3.63–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 40% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.10–7.52 2.52–8.10 | 4.75 2.75–6.75 2.22–7.29 | 10.06 5.85–14.28 4.74–15.38 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 59.10 52.31–65.89 50.64–67.56 | 40.98 34.20–47.77 32.53–49.44 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 458 391–526 373–544 | 296 230–362 212–380 | 754 621–888 585–924 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.82 75.79–83.85 74.49–85.14 | 71.36 67.03–75.68 65.72–76.99 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.90 7.47–14.65 | 15.48 12.53–18.42 11.78–19.17 | 26.54 20.76–32.32 19.25–33.82 | 17% 78% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.43 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.82 | 3.00 0.74–5.25 0.15–5.84 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 4.28 2.10–6.45 1.54–7.01 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.01 1.45–4.56 1.03–4.99 | 5.80 2.80–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+