Süper Lig·Regular Season - 25·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.152.44safe0.32–2.260.29–2.000.62–4.26safer0.07–2.510.06–2.230.14–4.74
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.808.29safe2.62–6.352.06–5.544.68–11.89safer2.13–6.841.59–6.013.72–12.85
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4011.8126.21safe10.48–18.338.25–15.3718.72–33.70safer9.39–19.427.29–16.3316.67–35.75
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.657.2616.90safe6.70–12.594.57–9.9411.28–22.53safer5.88–13.423.84–10.679.71–24.09
Blocked shots
48%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.286.95safe1.79–5.561.62–4.933.42–10.49safer1.25–6.101.13–5.422.38–11.52
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.629.83safe3.00–7.422.62–6.625.62–14.04safer2.42–8.002.09–7.164.51–15.15
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.2855.11safe37.49–51.0748.32–61.89safer35.82–52.7446.65–63.56
Passes
24%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction320402723safe253–387336–469589–856safer235–406318–486553–892
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction73.0277.37safe68.99–77.0573.05–81.70safer67.70–78.3471.74–83.01
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1712.3127.48safe12.34–18.019.36–15.2521.70–33.26safer11.58–18.778.61–16.0020.20–34.77
Offsides
36%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.522.96safe0.28–2.600.42–2.610.70–5.21safer0.00–2.900.13–2.900.11–5.80
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.074.08safe0.96–3.060.94–3.201.91–6.26safer0.70–3.330.65–3.491.35–6.82
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
32%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.135.64safe1.08–3.951.57–4.682.65–8.63safer0.69–4.341.15–5.111.84–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.35 2.13–6.84 | 3.80 2.06–5.54 1.59–6.01 | 8.29 4.68–11.89 3.72–12.85 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.40 10.48–18.33 9.39–19.42 | 11.81 8.25–15.37 7.29–16.33 | 26.21 18.72–33.70 16.67–35.75 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.65 6.70–12.59 5.88–13.42 | 7.26 4.57–9.94 3.84–10.67 | 16.90 11.28–22.53 9.71–24.09 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.56 1.25–6.10 | 3.28 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 6.95 3.42–10.49 2.38–11.52 | 48% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.21 3.00–7.42 2.42–8.00 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.09–7.16 | 9.83 5.62–14.04 4.51–15.15 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 44.28 37.49–51.07 35.82–52.74 | 55.11 48.32–61.89 46.65–63.56 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 320 253–387 235–406 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 723 589–856 553–892 | 24% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.02 68.99–77.05 67.70–78.34 | 77.37 73.05–81.70 71.74–83.01 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 15.17 12.34–18.01 11.58–18.77 | 12.31 9.36–15.25 8.61–16.00 | 27.48 21.70–33.26 20.20–34.77 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 2.96 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 36% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 4.08 1.91–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.15–5.11 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.84–9.44 | 32% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+