Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.682.99safe0.34–2.270.83–2.541.17–4.81safer0.09–2.530.60–2.770.69–5.29
Shots on target
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.169.64safe2.62–6.353.42–6.906.04–13.25safer2.13–6.842.95–7.375.08–14.20
Total shots
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6813.7725.45safe7.76–15.6110.21–17.3317.96–32.94safer6.67–16.709.25–18.2915.91–34.99
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.719.1216.83safe4.76–10.656.44–11.8011.21–22.45safer3.93–11.485.71–12.549.64–24.02
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.386.50safe1.23–5.001.73–5.032.96–10.03safer0.69–5.541.24–5.531.92–11.07
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.645.089.72safe2.43–6.853.08–7.085.51–13.94safer1.85–7.432.55–7.624.40–15.04
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.5453.91safe39.75–53.3347.13–60.70safer38.08–55.0045.46–62.37
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction380458839safe313–448392–525705–973safer295–466374–542670–1008
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction76.1380.68safe72.10–80.1676.35–85.00safer70.81–81.4575.04–86.31
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7113.7126.42safe9.87–15.5510.77–16.6520.64–32.20safer9.12–16.3010.02–17.4019.13–33.71
Offsides
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.414.39safe0.82–3.141.32–3.502.14–6.64safer0.52–3.441.03–3.791.55–7.23
Yellow cards
46%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.475.23safe1.70–3.801.35–3.603.05–7.41safer1.44–4.071.05–3.902.49–7.96
Red cards
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.130.30safe0.01–0.340.00–0.310.00–0.65safer0.00–0.490.00–0.440.00–0.93
GK saves
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.763.046.80safe2.32–5.191.48–4.603.81–9.79safer1.93–5.581.06–5.022.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.53 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.35 2.13–6.84 | 5.16 3.42–6.90 2.95–7.37 | 9.64 6.04–13.25 5.08–14.20 | 35% 52% |
| Total shots | 11.68 7.76–15.61 6.67–16.70 | 13.77 10.21–17.33 9.25–18.29 | 25.45 17.96–32.94 15.91–34.99 | 30% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.71 4.76–10.65 3.93–11.48 | 9.12 6.44–11.80 5.71–12.54 | 16.83 11.21–22.45 9.64–24.02 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 3.38 1.73–5.03 1.24–5.53 | 6.50 2.96–10.03 1.92–11.07 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.43–6.85 1.85–7.43 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.55–7.62 | 9.72 5.51–13.94 4.40–15.04 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 46.54 39.75–53.33 38.08–55.00 | 53.91 47.13–60.70 45.46–62.37 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 380 313–448 295–466 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 839 705–973 670–1008 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.13 72.10–80.16 70.81–81.45 | 80.68 76.35–85.00 75.04–86.31 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 12.71 9.87–15.55 9.12–16.30 | 13.71 10.77–16.65 10.02–17.40 | 26.42 20.64–32.20 19.13–33.71 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 2.41 1.32–3.50 1.03–3.79 | 4.39 2.14–6.64 1.55–7.23 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 2.75 1.70–3.80 1.44–4.07 | 2.47 1.35–3.60 1.05–3.90 | 5.23 3.05–7.41 2.49–7.96 | 46% 18% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.34 0.00–0.49 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 14% 76% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.32–5.19 1.93–5.58 | 3.04 1.48–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 53% 15% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.