Süper Lig·Regular Season - 25·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.233.21safe1.01–2.940.38–2.091.38–5.03safer0.76–3.200.15–2.310.90–5.51
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.763.949.70safe3.90–7.622.20–5.686.10–13.31safer3.41–8.111.73–6.155.14–14.26
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1010.6526.75safe12.18–20.037.08–14.2119.26–34.24safer11.09–21.126.12–15.1717.21–36.29
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.496.5617.05safe7.55–13.443.88–9.2411.43–22.67safer6.72–14.273.14–9.989.86–24.24
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.122.666.78safe2.23–6.001.01–4.313.24–10.31safer1.69–6.540.51–4.802.21–11.35
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.879.78safe3.70–8.131.86–5.875.56–13.99safer3.12–8.701.33–6.404.46–15.10
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.2445.47safe48.45–62.0338.69–52.26safer46.78–63.7037.02–53.93
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction456379836safe389–524313–446702–969safer371–542295–463666–1005
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction80.7675.75safe76.73–84.7971.42–80.07safer75.44–86.0870.11–81.38
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9813.2626.24safe10.14–15.8210.32–16.2120.46–32.03safer9.39–16.579.57–16.9618.96–33.53
Offsides
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.934.24safe1.16–3.480.83–3.021.99–6.50safer0.86–3.780.54–3.311.40–7.09
Yellow cards
28%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.895.01safe1.07–3.171.76–4.012.83–7.19safer0.81–3.441.47–4.312.27–7.74
Red cards
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.190.31safe0.00–0.280.00–0.380.00–0.66safer0.00–0.430.00–0.510.00–0.94
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.786.38safe1.17–4.042.22–5.333.39–9.38safer0.78–4.431.80–5.762.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.94 0.76–3.20 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.31 | 3.21 1.38–5.03 0.90–5.51 | 55% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.76 3.90–7.62 3.41–8.11 | 3.94 2.20–5.68 1.73–6.15 | 9.70 6.10–13.31 5.14–14.26 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.10 12.18–20.03 11.09–21.12 | 10.65 7.08–14.21 6.12–15.17 | 26.75 19.26–34.24 17.21–36.29 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.49 7.55–13.44 6.72–14.27 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 17.05 11.43–22.67 9.86–24.24 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.23–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 2.66 1.01–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 6.78 3.24–10.31 2.21–11.35 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.91 3.70–8.13 3.12–8.70 | 3.87 1.86–5.87 1.33–6.40 | 9.78 5.56–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 55.24 48.45–62.03 46.78–63.70 | 45.47 38.69–52.26 37.02–53.93 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 456 389–524 371–542 | 379 313–446 295–463 | 836 702–969 666–1005 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.76 76.73–84.79 75.44–86.08 | 75.75 71.42–80.07 70.11–81.38 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.98 10.14–15.82 9.39–16.57 | 13.26 10.32–16.21 9.57–16.96 | 26.24 20.46–32.03 18.96–33.53 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.54–3.31 | 4.24 1.99–6.50 1.40–7.09 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.81–3.44 | 2.89 1.76–4.01 1.47–4.31 | 5.01 2.83–7.19 2.27–7.74 | 28% 17% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.38 0.00–0.51 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 75% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.78 2.22–5.33 1.80–5.76 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.