Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.012.36safe0.38–2.320.15–1.860.54–4.18safer0.13–2.570.00–2.090.06–4.66
Shots on target
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.503.638.13safe2.64–6.361.89–5.384.53–11.74safer2.15–6.851.43–5.843.57–12.70
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7810.6824.45safe9.85–17.707.11–14.2416.97–31.94safer8.76–18.796.15–15.2014.91–33.99
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction8.546.2914.83safe5.60–11.493.61–8.979.21–20.46safer4.77–12.322.87–9.717.64–22.02
Blocked shots
60%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.732.606.33safe1.85–5.610.94–4.252.79–9.86safer1.30–6.150.45–4.741.75–10.90
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.323.779.09safe3.11–7.541.77–5.774.88–13.31safer2.54–8.111.24–6.303.77–14.41
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7150.37safe42.92–56.5043.58–57.15safer41.25–58.1741.91–58.82
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction405405809safe337–472338–471676–943safer319–490321–489640–979
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction82.0280.90safe77.99–86.0576.57–85.22safer76.70–87.3475.26–86.53
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0913.2226.32safe10.26–15.9310.28–16.1720.54–32.10safer9.50–16.699.53–16.9219.03–33.61
Offsides
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.512.79safe0.12–2.440.42–2.600.54–5.05safer0.00–2.750.13–2.890.00–5.64
Yellow cards
33%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.354.31safe0.91–3.011.22–3.482.13–6.49safer0.64–3.270.93–3.771.57–7.05
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
32%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.995.43safe1.01–3.881.43–4.542.44–8.42safer0.62–4.271.01–4.971.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.36 0.54–4.18 0.06–4.66 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.36 2.15–6.85 | 3.63 1.89–5.38 1.43–5.84 | 8.13 4.53–11.74 3.57–12.70 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.78 9.85–17.70 8.76–18.79 | 10.68 7.11–14.24 6.15–15.20 | 24.45 16.97–31.94 14.91–33.99 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.60–11.49 4.77–12.32 | 6.29 3.61–8.97 2.87–9.71 | 14.83 9.21–20.46 7.64–22.02 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 2.60 0.94–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 6.33 2.79–9.86 1.75–10.90 | 60% 15% 26% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.11 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.30 | 9.09 4.88–13.31 3.77–14.41 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 49.71 42.92–56.50 41.25–58.17 | 50.37 43.58–57.15 41.91–58.82 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 405 337–472 319–490 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 809 676–943 640–979 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.02 77.99–86.05 76.70–87.34 | 80.90 76.57–85.22 75.26–86.53 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 13.09 10.26–15.93 9.50–16.69 | 13.22 10.28–16.17 9.53–16.92 | 26.32 20.54–32.10 19.03–33.61 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.28 0.12–2.44 0.00–2.75 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 2.79 0.54–5.05 0.00–5.64 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 2.35 1.22–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.57–7.05 | 33% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.01–3.88 0.62–4.27 | 2.99 1.43–4.54 1.01–4.97 | 5.43 2.44–8.42 1.63–9.24 | 32% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+