Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
28%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.292.39safe0.12–2.060.44–2.150.56–4.21safer0.00–2.310.21–2.380.08–4.69
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.994.058.03safe2.12–5.852.30–5.794.43–11.64safer1.63–6.341.84–6.253.47–12.59
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2212.3124.53safe8.30–16.158.75–15.8717.05–32.02safer7.21–17.247.79–16.8315.00–34.07
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.647.8215.46safe4.69–10.585.14–10.509.84–21.08safer3.86–11.414.40–11.248.27–22.65
Blocked shots
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.246.45safe1.33–5.101.59–4.892.92–9.99safer0.79–5.641.09–5.381.88–11.03
Corners
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.719.21safe2.29–6.712.71–6.715.00–13.43safer1.71–7.292.18–7.253.89–14.53
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.2546.54safe46.46–60.0439.75–53.32safer44.79–61.7138.08–54.99
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction446387833safe379–513321–453699–967safer361–531303–471664–1002
Pass accuracy %
55%
39%
homeawayprediction82.6281.05safe78.59–86.6576.73–85.38safer77.30–87.9475.42–86.69
Fouls
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5513.6127.16safe10.71–16.3810.66–16.5521.37–32.94safer9.95–17.149.92–17.3019.87–34.44
Offsides
45%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.282.90safe0.46–2.780.19–2.370.65–5.15safer0.16–3.080.00–2.660.06–5.74
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.144.31safe1.12–3.221.01–3.272.13–6.49safer0.86–3.490.72–3.561.57–7.04
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.795.40safe1.18–4.051.23–4.342.41–8.40safer0.79–4.440.81–4.771.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.39 0.56–4.21 0.08–4.69 | 31% 28% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.99 2.12–5.85 1.63–6.34 | 4.05 2.30–5.79 1.84–6.25 | 8.03 4.43–11.64 3.47–12.59 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 12.22 8.30–16.15 7.21–17.24 | 12.31 8.75–15.87 7.79–16.83 | 24.53 17.05–32.02 15.00–34.07 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 7.64 4.69–10.58 3.86–11.41 | 7.82 5.14–10.50 4.40–11.24 | 15.46 9.84–21.08 8.27–22.65 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.33–5.10 0.79–5.64 | 3.24 1.59–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 6.45 2.92–9.99 1.88–11.03 | 42% 16% 42% |
| Corners | 4.50 2.29–6.71 1.71–7.29 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.18–7.25 | 9.21 5.00–13.43 3.89–14.53 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 53.25 46.46–60.04 44.79–61.71 | 46.54 39.75–53.32 38.08–54.99 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 361–531 | 387 321–453 303–471 | 833 699–967 664–1002 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.62 78.59–86.65 77.30–87.94 | 81.05 76.73–85.38 75.42–86.69 | — | 55% 39% |
| Fouls | 13.55 10.71–16.38 9.95–17.14 | 13.61 10.66–16.55 9.92–17.30 | 27.16 21.37–32.94 19.87–34.44 | 46% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.90 0.65–5.15 0.06–5.74 | 45% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.57–7.04 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 2.79 1.23–4.34 0.81–4.77 | 5.40 2.41–8.40 1.60–9.21 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+