Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.103.12safe1.05–2.990.25–1.961.30–4.94safer0.80–3.240.02–2.180.82–5.42
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.419.42safe4.15–7.881.67–5.155.82–13.03safer3.66–8.371.20–5.624.86–13.98
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.329.4626.77safe13.39–21.245.89–13.0219.28–34.26safer12.30–22.334.93–13.9817.23–36.31
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.595.9117.50safe8.65–14.533.23–8.5911.88–23.13safer7.82–15.362.49–9.3310.31–24.69
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.632.226.85safe2.75–6.510.57–3.883.32–10.39safer2.20–7.060.08–4.372.28–11.42
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.323.329.64safe4.11–8.531.32–5.325.43–13.86safer3.53–9.110.79–5.864.32–14.96
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.7744.23safe48.98–62.5637.45–51.02safer47.31–64.2335.78–52.69
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction501382883safe434–568315–448749–1017safer416–586298–466714–1052
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction83.9278.52safe79.89–87.9574.20–82.84safer78.59–89.2472.89–84.15
Fouls
41%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1812.8825.05safe9.34–15.019.93–15.8219.27–30.83safer8.58–15.779.18–16.5717.76–32.34
Offsides
64%
16%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.011.714.72safe1.85–4.170.62–2.802.47–6.97safer1.55–4.470.33–3.091.88–7.56
Yellow cards
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.624.43safe0.76–2.861.50–3.752.25–6.61safer0.49–3.121.20–4.041.70–7.17
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.150.26safe0.00–0.270.00–0.340.00–0.61safer0.00–0.420.00–0.470.00–0.89
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.324.246.56safe0.89–3.762.68–5.793.57–9.55safer0.50–4.152.26–6.222.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.18 | 3.12 1.30–4.94 0.82–5.42 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.88 3.66–8.37 | 3.41 1.67–5.15 1.20–5.62 | 9.42 5.82–13.03 4.86–13.98 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.32 13.39–21.24 12.30–22.33 | 9.46 5.89–13.02 4.93–13.98 | 26.77 19.28–34.26 17.23–36.31 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.59 8.65–14.53 7.82–15.36 | 5.91 3.23–8.59 2.49–9.33 | 17.50 11.88–23.13 10.31–24.69 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.75–6.51 2.20–7.06 | 2.22 0.57–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 6.85 3.32–10.39 2.28–11.42 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.53 3.53–9.11 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.79–5.86 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.96 | 79% |
| Possession % | 55.77 48.98–62.56 47.31–64.23 | 44.23 37.45–51.02 35.78–52.69 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 501 434–568 416–586 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 883 749–1017 714–1052 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.92 79.89–87.95 78.59–89.24 | 78.52 74.20–82.84 72.89–84.15 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 12.18 9.34–15.01 8.58–15.77 | 12.88 9.93–15.82 9.18–16.57 | 25.05 19.27–30.83 17.76–32.34 | 41% 52% |
| Offsides | 3.01 1.85–4.17 1.55–4.47 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 4.72 2.47–6.97 1.88–7.56 | 64% 16% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.62 1.50–3.75 1.20–4.04 | 4.43 2.25–6.61 1.70–7.17 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 4.24 2.68–5.79 2.26–6.22 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+