Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.682.91safe0.27–2.200.82–2.531.09–4.73safer0.02–2.450.59–2.760.61–5.21
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.885.239.11safe2.02–5.743.49–6.975.50–12.71safer1.53–6.233.02–7.444.55–13.67
Total shots
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7714.0724.83safe6.84–14.6910.51–17.6317.35–32.32safer5.75–15.789.55–18.5915.30–34.37
Shots in box
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.059.2816.33safe4.11–9.996.60–11.9610.71–21.96safer3.28–10.825.87–12.709.14–23.52
Blocked shots
30%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.776.67safe1.02–4.782.12–5.423.13–10.20safer0.47–5.321.63–5.922.10–11.24
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.265.039.28safe2.04–6.473.03–7.035.07–13.50safer1.47–7.042.50–7.563.96–14.60
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.7554.40safe39.96–53.5447.61–61.18safer38.29–55.2145.94–62.85
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction402475876safe334–469408–541742–1010safer316–487391–559707–1045
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction79.2082.90safe75.18–83.2378.58–87.23safer73.88–84.5377.27–88.54
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4412.7225.15safe9.60–15.279.77–15.6619.37–30.94safer8.84–16.039.02–16.4117.87–32.44
Offsides
20%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.753.044.79safe0.59–2.911.95–4.132.54–7.05safer0.29–3.211.66–4.421.95–7.64
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.224.42safe1.15–3.251.09–3.352.24–6.60safer0.89–3.520.80–3.641.68–7.16
Red cards
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.110.28safe0.00–0.320.00–0.300.00–0.62safer0.00–0.470.00–0.430.00–0.91
GK saves
56%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.656.21safe2.13–5.001.10–4.213.22–9.21safer1.74–5.390.67–4.632.41–10.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.45 | 1.68 0.82–2.53 0.59–2.76 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.88 2.02–5.74 1.53–6.23 | 5.23 3.49–6.97 3.02–7.44 | 9.11 5.50–12.71 4.55–13.67 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 10.77 6.84–14.69 5.75–15.78 | 14.07 10.51–17.63 9.55–18.59 | 24.83 17.35–32.32 15.30–34.37 | 22% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.05 4.11–9.99 3.28–10.82 | 9.28 6.60–11.96 5.87–12.70 | 16.33 10.71–21.96 9.14–23.52 | 25% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 2.90 1.02–4.78 0.47–5.32 | 3.77 2.12–5.42 1.63–5.92 | 6.67 3.13–10.20 2.10–11.24 | 30% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 4.26 2.04–6.47 1.47–7.04 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.50–7.56 | 9.28 5.07–13.50 3.96–14.60 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 46.75 39.96–53.54 38.29–55.21 | 54.40 47.61–61.18 45.94–62.85 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 402 334–469 316–487 | 475 408–541 391–559 | 876 742–1010 707–1045 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.20 75.18–83.23 73.88–84.53 | 82.90 78.58–87.23 77.27–88.54 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.27 8.84–16.03 | 12.72 9.77–15.66 9.02–16.41 | 25.15 19.37–30.94 17.87–32.44 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.29–3.21 | 3.04 1.95–4.13 1.66–4.42 | 4.79 2.54–7.05 1.95–7.64 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.89–3.52 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.42 2.24–6.60 1.68–7.16 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.28 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 13% 77% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 2.65 1.10–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 6.21 3.22–9.21 2.41–10.02 | 56% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

