Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.542.63safe0.12–2.060.69–2.400.81–4.45safer0.00–2.310.46–2.620.33–4.93
Shots on target
43%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.384.428.79safe2.51–6.242.67–6.165.19–12.40safer2.02–6.732.21–6.624.23–13.35
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0813.2526.33safe9.15–17.009.69–16.8118.84–33.82safer8.06–18.098.73–17.7716.79–35.87
Shots in box
32%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction6.918.2315.14safe3.97–9.855.55–10.919.52–20.76safer3.14–10.684.81–11.657.95–22.33
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.576.90safe1.45–5.221.91–5.223.37–10.44safer0.91–5.761.42–5.712.33–11.47
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.789.49safe2.49–6.922.78–6.785.27–13.70safer1.92–7.492.25–7.314.16–14.81
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.1651.91safe40.37–53.9545.13–58.70safer38.70–55.6243.46–60.37
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction369410779safe302–436343–476645–912safer284–454326–494609–948
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction80.8482.53safe76.81–84.8778.21–86.85safer75.52–86.1676.90–88.16
Fouls
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6615.6128.27safe9.83–15.5012.67–18.5522.49–34.06safer9.07–16.2611.92–19.3020.99–35.56
Offsides
23%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.373.83safe0.30–2.621.27–3.461.58–6.08safer0.00–2.930.98–3.750.99–6.67
Yellow cards
36%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.342.604.94safe1.30–3.391.47–3.732.76–7.12safer1.03–3.661.18–4.022.21–7.68
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.130.28safe0.00–0.310.00–0.320.00–0.63safer0.00–0.460.00–0.450.00–0.91
GK saves
42%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.006.00safe1.56–4.431.45–4.563.01–8.99safer1.17–4.821.02–4.992.20–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.62 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.51–6.24 2.02–6.73 | 4.42 2.67–6.16 2.21–6.62 | 8.79 5.19–12.40 4.23–13.35 | 43% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.08 9.15–17.00 8.06–18.09 | 13.25 9.69–16.81 8.73–17.77 | 26.33 18.84–33.82 16.79–35.87 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 6.91 3.97–9.85 3.14–10.68 | 8.23 5.55–10.91 4.81–11.65 | 15.14 9.52–20.76 7.95–22.33 | 32% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.45–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 3.57 1.91–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 6.90 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.47 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.49–6.92 1.92–7.49 | 4.78 2.78–6.78 2.25–7.31 | 9.49 5.27–13.70 4.16–14.81 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 47.16 40.37–53.95 38.70–55.62 | 51.91 45.13–58.70 43.46–60.37 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 369 302–436 284–454 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 779 645–912 609–948 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.84 76.81–84.87 75.52–86.16 | 82.53 78.21–86.85 76.90–88.16 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.83–15.50 9.07–16.26 | 15.61 12.67–18.55 11.92–19.30 | 28.27 22.49–34.06 20.99–35.56 | 26% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.93 | 2.37 1.27–3.46 0.98–3.75 | 3.83 1.58–6.08 0.99–6.67 | 23% 19% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 2.34 1.30–3.39 1.03–3.66 | 2.60 1.47–3.73 1.18–4.02 | 4.94 2.76–7.12 2.21–7.68 | 36% 18% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.99 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.20–9.80 | 42% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+