Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.600.932.53safe0.64–2.570.08–1.780.71–4.36safer0.38–2.820.00–2.010.23–4.84
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.943.218.15safe3.08–6.811.47–4.954.55–11.76safer2.59–7.301.00–5.423.59–12.71
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9110.0826.00safe11.99–19.846.52–13.6418.51–33.48safer10.90–20.935.56–14.6016.46–35.53
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction9.885.6615.54safe6.94–12.822.98–8.349.92–21.17safer6.11–13.652.25–9.088.35–22.73
Blocked shots
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.732.506.23safe1.85–5.620.84–4.152.69–9.76safer1.31–6.160.35–4.641.66–10.80
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.743.739.46safe3.52–7.951.73–5.735.25–13.68safer2.95–8.521.20–6.264.14–14.78
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.1345.48safe48.34–61.9238.70–52.27safer46.67–63.5937.03–53.94
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction456379835safe389–524312–445701–969safer371–542295–463666–1004
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction84.4081.19safe80.37–88.4376.86–85.51safer79.08–89.7275.55–86.82
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7112.5228.23safe12.88–18.559.57–15.4622.45–34.01safer12.12–19.318.82–16.2120.94–35.52
Offsides
61%
19%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.441.373.82safe1.28–3.600.28–2.461.56–6.07safer0.98–3.910.00–2.750.97–6.66
Yellow cards
33%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.244.13safe0.85–2.941.11–3.361.95–6.31safer0.58–3.210.82–3.661.39–6.87
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.245.60safe0.93–3.801.68–4.792.61–8.59safer0.54–4.191.25–5.221.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.64–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 0.93 0.08–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.53 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 53% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.08–6.81 2.59–7.30 | 3.21 1.47–4.95 1.00–5.42 | 8.15 4.55–11.76 3.59–12.71 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.91 11.99–19.84 10.90–20.93 | 10.08 6.52–13.64 5.56–14.60 | 26.00 18.51–33.48 16.46–35.53 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.88 6.94–12.82 6.11–13.65 | 5.66 2.98–8.34 2.25–9.08 | 15.54 9.92–21.17 8.35–22.73 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 2.50 0.84–4.15 0.35–4.64 | 6.23 2.69–9.76 1.66–10.80 | 61% 15% 24% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.52 | 3.73 1.73–5.73 1.20–6.26 | 9.46 5.25–13.68 4.14–14.78 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 55.13 48.34–61.92 46.67–63.59 | 45.48 38.70–52.27 37.03–53.94 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 456 389–524 371–542 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 835 701–969 666–1004 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.40 80.37–88.43 79.08–89.72 | 81.19 76.86–85.51 75.55–86.82 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 15.71 12.88–18.55 12.12–19.31 | 12.52 9.57–15.46 8.82–16.21 | 28.23 22.45–34.01 20.94–35.52 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 2.44 1.28–3.60 0.98–3.91 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.82 1.56–6.07 0.97–6.66 | 61% 19% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.85–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.24 1.11–3.36 0.82–3.66 | 4.13 1.95–6.31 1.39–6.87 | 33% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.24 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.22 | 5.60 2.61–8.59 1.80–9.41 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.