Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.272.95safe0.71–2.650.41–2.121.12–4.77safer0.46–2.900.19–2.350.64–5.25
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.183.949.11safe3.32–7.042.19–5.685.51–12.72safer2.83–7.531.73–6.144.55–13.67
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5210.4826.00safe11.60–19.456.92–14.0418.52–33.49safer10.50–20.545.96–15.0016.46–35.54
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.907.0716.97safe6.95–12.844.39–9.7511.34–22.59safer6.12–13.673.65–10.499.78–24.16
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.232.847.06safe2.34–6.111.19–4.493.53–10.60safer1.80–6.650.69–4.982.49–11.64
Corners
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.833.679.50safe3.61–8.041.67–5.675.29–13.71safer3.04–8.611.14–6.214.18–14.82
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.4248.05safe45.63–59.2141.26–54.83safer43.96–60.8839.59–56.50
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction419386805safe352–486319–452671–938safer334–504302–470635–974
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction81.0376.68safe77.00–85.0672.36–81.00safer75.71–86.3571.05–82.31
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9112.6625.57safe10.07–15.759.72–15.6119.79–31.35safer9.31–16.508.97–16.3618.29–32.86
Offsides
22%
18%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.534.07safe0.38–2.701.44–3.621.82–6.32safer0.08–3.001.15–3.911.23–6.91
Yellow cards
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.874.97safe1.05–3.151.74–4.002.79–7.15safer0.78–3.411.45–4.292.23–7.70
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.140.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.330.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.436.09safe1.23–4.101.87–4.983.10–9.08safer0.84–4.491.45–5.412.29–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.18 3.32–7.04 2.83–7.53 | 3.94 2.19–5.68 1.73–6.14 | 9.11 5.51–12.72 4.55–13.67 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.52 11.60–19.45 10.50–20.54 | 10.48 6.92–14.04 5.96–15.00 | 26.00 18.52–33.49 16.46–35.54 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.90 6.95–12.84 6.12–13.67 | 7.07 4.39–9.75 3.65–10.49 | 16.97 11.34–22.59 9.78–24.16 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.34–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 2.84 1.19–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 7.06 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.64 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.61–8.04 3.04–8.61 | 3.67 1.67–5.67 1.14–6.21 | 9.50 5.29–13.71 4.18–14.82 | 70% 19% |
| Possession % | 52.42 45.63–59.21 43.96–60.88 | 48.05 41.26–54.83 39.59–56.50 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 419 352–486 334–504 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 805 671–938 635–974 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.03 77.00–85.06 75.71–86.35 | 76.68 72.36–81.00 71.05–82.31 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 12.91 10.07–15.75 9.31–16.50 | 12.66 9.72–15.61 8.97–16.36 | 25.57 19.79–31.35 18.29–32.86 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 2.53 1.44–3.62 1.15–3.91 | 4.07 1.82–6.32 1.23–6.91 | 22% 18% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.78–3.41 | 2.87 1.74–4.00 1.45–4.29 | 4.97 2.79–7.15 2.23–7.70 | 28% 17% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 3.43 1.87–4.98 1.45–5.41 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.89 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+