Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.342.72safe0.42–2.360.48–2.190.90–4.55safer0.17–2.610.25–2.420.42–5.03
Shots on target
44%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.554.489.04safe2.69–6.422.74–6.225.43–12.64safer2.20–6.912.27–6.694.48–13.60
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5212.8926.41safe9.59–17.449.32–16.4518.92–33.89safer8.50–18.538.37–17.4116.87–35.94
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.228.2117.43safe6.27–12.165.53–10.9011.81–23.05safer5.44–12.994.80–11.6310.24–24.62
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.517.17safe1.78–5.541.85–5.163.63–10.70safer1.24–6.091.36–5.652.60–11.74
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.639.68safe2.83–7.262.63–6.635.46–13.89safer2.26–7.832.10–7.174.36–15.00
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.7049.21safe44.91–58.4942.42–55.99safer43.24–60.1640.75–57.66
Passes
54%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction419405823safe351–486338–471690–957safer333–504321–489654–993
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction78.0279.11safe73.99–82.0574.79–83.44safer72.70–83.3473.48–84.75
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1014.1326.23safe9.26–14.9311.19–17.0820.44–32.01safer8.50–15.6910.44–17.8218.94–33.51
Offsides
63%
17%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.644.53safe1.72–4.050.55–2.732.27–6.78safer1.42–4.350.26–3.021.68–7.37
Yellow cards
40%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.334.65safe1.27–3.371.20–3.462.47–6.83safer1.01–3.640.91–3.751.92–7.39
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.246.44safe1.77–4.641.68–4.793.45–9.43safer1.38–5.031.26–5.222.64–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.69–6.42 2.20–6.91 | 4.48 2.74–6.22 2.27–6.69 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.48–13.60 | 44% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.52 9.59–17.44 8.50–18.53 | 12.89 9.32–16.45 8.37–17.41 | 26.41 18.92–33.89 16.87–35.94 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.27–12.16 5.44–12.99 | 8.21 5.53–10.90 4.80–11.63 | 17.43 11.81–23.05 10.24–24.62 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.24–6.09 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.17 3.63–10.70 2.60–11.74 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.83–7.26 2.26–7.83 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.17 | 9.68 5.46–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 51.70 44.91–58.49 43.24–60.16 | 49.21 42.42–55.99 40.75–57.66 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 419 351–486 333–504 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 823 690–957 654–993 | 54% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.02 73.99–82.05 72.70–83.34 | 79.11 74.79–83.44 73.48–84.75 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.26–14.93 8.50–15.69 | 14.13 11.19–17.08 10.44–17.82 | 26.23 20.44–32.01 18.94–33.51 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.72–4.05 1.42–4.35 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 4.53 2.27–6.78 1.68–7.37 | 63% 17% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.01–3.64 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.65 2.47–6.83 1.92–7.39 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 3.24 1.68–4.79 1.26–5.22 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.24 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+