Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.360.972.33safe0.39–2.330.12–1.830.51–4.16safer0.14–2.580.00–2.060.03–4.64
Shots on target
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.363.367.72safe2.50–6.221.62–5.114.12–11.33safer2.01–6.711.16–5.573.16–12.28
Total shots
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7710.4924.26safe9.85–17.696.93–14.0616.78–31.75safer8.75–18.795.97–15.0114.72–33.80
Shots in box
66%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction8.466.3614.82safe5.52–11.403.68–9.059.20–20.45safer4.69–12.232.95–9.787.63–22.01
Blocked shots
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.756.17safe1.53–5.301.10–4.402.63–9.70safer0.99–5.840.60–4.901.59–10.74
Corners
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.093.818.89safe2.87–7.301.81–5.814.68–13.11safer2.30–7.871.28–6.343.57–14.21
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.1644.20safe48.37–61.9537.42–50.99safer46.70–63.6235.75–52.66
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction466375840safe399–533308–441707–974safer380–551291–459671–1010
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction83.4978.97safe79.46–87.5274.64–83.29safer78.17–88.8173.33–84.60
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4413.4225.86safe9.60–15.2710.48–16.3720.08–31.64safer8.84–16.039.73–17.1218.57–33.15
Offsides
47%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.343.06safe0.56–2.880.24–2.430.81–5.31safer0.26–3.190.00–2.720.22–5.90
Yellow cards
39%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.194.31safe1.07–3.161.06–3.322.13–6.49safer0.80–3.430.77–3.611.57–7.04
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
31%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.145.61safe1.03–3.911.58–4.692.62–8.60safer0.65–4.291.16–5.121.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.33 0.51–4.16 0.03–4.64 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.50–6.22 2.01–6.71 | 3.36 1.62–5.11 1.16–5.57 | 7.72 4.12–11.33 3.16–12.28 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Total shots | 13.77 9.85–17.69 8.75–18.79 | 10.49 6.93–14.06 5.97–15.01 | 24.26 16.78–31.75 14.72–33.80 | 71% 22% |
| Shots in box | 8.46 5.52–11.40 4.69–12.23 | 6.36 3.68–9.05 2.95–9.78 | 14.82 9.20–20.45 7.63–22.01 | 66% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.53–5.30 0.99–5.84 | 2.75 1.10–4.40 0.60–4.90 | 6.17 2.63–9.70 1.59–10.74 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.87–7.30 2.30–7.87 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.28–6.34 | 8.89 4.68–13.11 3.57–14.21 | 60% 27% |
| Possession % | 55.16 48.37–61.95 46.70–63.62 | 44.20 37.42–50.99 35.75–52.66 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 466 399–533 380–551 | 375 308–441 291–459 | 840 707–974 671–1010 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.49 79.46–87.52 78.17–88.81 | 78.97 74.64–83.29 73.33–84.60 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.27 8.84–16.03 | 13.42 10.48–16.37 9.73–17.12 | 25.86 20.08–31.64 18.57–33.15 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.19 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 47% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.57–7.04 | 39% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.03–3.91 0.65–4.29 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 5.61 2.62–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 31% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+