Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
28%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.172.28safe0.14–2.080.32–2.030.46–4.11safer0.00–2.330.09–2.250.00–4.59
Shots on target
45%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.717.57safe2.00–5.721.97–5.453.97–11.18safer1.51–6.211.50–5.923.01–12.13
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0711.4323.50safe8.15–16.007.87–14.9916.02–30.99safer7.06–17.096.91–15.9513.96–33.04
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction7.987.1615.13safe5.04–10.924.47–9.849.51–20.76safer4.21–11.753.74–10.577.94–22.33
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.036.54safe1.63–5.391.38–4.693.01–10.08safer1.08–5.940.89–5.181.97–11.11
Corners
43%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.519.00safe2.28–6.712.51–6.514.79–13.22safer1.71–7.281.97–7.043.68–14.32
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction48.8850.89safe42.09–55.6744.11–57.68safer40.42–57.3442.43–59.35
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction422440862safe355–490374–507729–996safer337–508356–524693–1032
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction82.2283.31safe78.19–86.2578.99–87.64safer76.90–87.5477.68–88.95
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7212.7827.49safe11.88–17.559.83–15.7221.71–33.27safer11.12–18.319.08–16.4720.20–34.78
Offsides
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.603.02safe0.26–2.580.51–2.700.77–5.27safer0.00–2.880.22–2.980.18–5.86
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.184.05safe0.83–2.921.05–3.311.87–6.23safer0.56–3.190.76–3.601.32–6.79
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
39%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.765.39safe1.19–4.061.21–4.322.39–8.38safer0.80–4.450.78–4.741.58–9.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.25 | 2.28 0.46–4.11 0.00–4.59 | 34% 28% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 2.00–5.72 1.51–6.21 | 3.71 1.97–5.45 1.50–5.92 | 7.57 3.97–11.18 3.01–12.13 | 45% 15% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.07 8.15–16.00 7.06–17.09 | 11.43 7.87–14.99 6.91–15.95 | 23.50 16.02–30.99 13.96–33.04 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.98 5.04–10.92 4.21–11.75 | 7.16 4.47–9.84 3.74–10.57 | 15.13 9.51–20.76 7.94–22.33 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.08–5.94 | 3.03 1.38–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 6.54 3.01–10.08 1.97–11.11 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 4.50 2.28–6.71 1.71–7.28 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.97–7.04 | 9.00 4.79–13.22 3.68–14.32 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 48.88 42.09–55.67 40.42–57.34 | 50.89 44.11–57.68 42.43–59.35 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 422 355–490 337–508 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 862 729–996 693–1032 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.22 78.19–86.25 76.90–87.54 | 83.31 78.99–87.64 77.68–88.95 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 14.72 11.88–17.55 11.12–18.31 | 12.78 9.83–15.72 9.08–16.47 | 27.49 21.71–33.27 20.20–34.78 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.60 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.98 | 3.02 0.77–5.27 0.18–5.86 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 2.76 1.21–4.32 0.78–4.74 | 5.39 2.39–8.38 1.58–9.19 | 39% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.