Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.843.03safe0.23–2.170.98–2.691.21–4.86safer0.00–2.420.75–2.920.73–5.34
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.025.129.14safe2.16–5.893.37–6.865.54–12.75safer1.67–6.382.91–7.334.58–13.70
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0014.0426.04safe8.07–15.9210.48–17.6118.55–33.53safer6.98–17.019.52–18.5716.50–35.58
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.158.3816.54safe5.21–11.105.70–11.0610.91–22.16safer4.38–11.934.96–11.809.35–23.73
Blocked shots
27%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.944.006.94safe1.06–4.822.34–5.653.40–10.47safer0.51–5.361.85–6.142.37–11.51
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.645.4610.10safe2.43–6.853.46–7.465.88–14.31safer1.85–7.432.92–7.994.78–15.42
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.7564.62safe28.96–42.5457.83–71.40safer27.29–44.2156.16–73.07
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction279500779safe212–346434–567646–913safer194–364416–584610–949
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction70.0583.13safe66.02–74.0878.80–87.45safer64.73–75.3777.50–88.76
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3612.5724.93safe9.52–15.209.63–15.5219.15–30.72safer8.77–15.968.88–16.2717.65–32.22
Offsides
50%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.493.52safe0.87–3.190.39–2.581.27–5.77safer0.57–3.490.11–2.870.68–6.36
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.204.18safe0.93–3.031.08–3.332.01–6.36safer0.66–3.300.78–3.621.45–6.92
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
50%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.786.11safe1.89–4.761.23–4.343.12–9.11safer1.50–5.150.80–4.772.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 3.03 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.34 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.16–5.89 1.67–6.38 | 5.12 3.37–6.86 2.91–7.33 | 9.14 5.54–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 12.00 8.07–15.92 6.98–17.01 | 14.04 10.48–17.61 9.52–18.57 | 26.04 18.55–33.53 16.50–35.58 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 8.15 5.21–11.10 4.38–11.93 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.80 | 16.54 10.91–22.16 9.35–23.73 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 2.94 1.06–4.82 0.51–5.36 | 4.00 2.34–5.65 1.85–6.14 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.37–11.51 | 27% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.43–6.85 1.85–7.43 | 5.46 3.46–7.46 2.92–7.99 | 10.10 5.88–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 35.75 28.96–42.54 27.29–44.21 | 64.62 57.83–71.40 56.16–73.07 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 279 212–346 194–364 | 500 434–567 416–584 | 779 646–913 610–949 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.05 66.02–74.08 64.73–75.37 | 83.13 78.80–87.45 77.50–88.76 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.36 9.52–15.20 8.77–15.96 | 12.57 9.63–15.52 8.88–16.27 | 24.93 19.15–30.72 17.65–32.22 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.49 0.39–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 50% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.30 | 2.20 1.08–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.18 2.01–6.36 1.45–6.92 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.78 1.23–4.34 0.80–4.77 | 6.11 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 50% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.