Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.053.18safe1.16–3.090.20–1.911.36–5.00safer0.91–3.350.00–2.140.88–5.48
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.583.4610.04safe4.71–8.441.72–5.206.43–13.64safer4.22–8.931.25–5.675.48–14.60
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3410.2927.63safe13.41–21.266.73–13.8520.14–35.11safer12.32–22.355.77–14.8118.09–37.16
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.747.1218.87safe8.80–14.694.44–9.8013.24–24.49safer7.97–15.523.70–10.5411.68–26.06
Blocked shots
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.652.837.48safe2.77–6.531.17–4.483.94–11.01safer2.22–7.070.68–4.972.91–12.05
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.9210.76safe4.63–9.061.92–5.926.55–14.98safer4.06–9.631.39–6.455.44–16.08
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.9832.41safe61.19–74.7725.62–39.19safer59.52–76.4423.95–40.86
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction563257820safe495–630190–323686–953safer477–648173–341650–989
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction84.2670.28safe80.23–88.2965.96–74.61safer78.94–89.5864.65–75.92
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9413.4825.42safe9.10–14.7710.54–16.4319.64–31.20safer8.34–15.539.79–17.1818.13–32.71
Offsides
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.993.69safe0.54–2.860.90–3.091.44–5.94safer0.23–3.160.61–3.370.85–6.53
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.873.66safe0.74–2.830.74–3.001.48–5.83safer0.47–3.100.45–3.290.92–6.39
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.404.336.73safe0.97–3.842.77–5.883.74–9.72safer0.58–4.232.35–6.312.93–10.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.09 0.91–3.35 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 62% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.58 4.71–8.44 4.22–8.93 | 3.46 1.72–5.20 1.25–5.67 | 10.04 6.43–13.64 5.48–14.60 | 80% |
| Total shots | 17.34 13.41–21.26 12.32–22.35 | 10.29 6.73–13.85 5.77–14.81 | 27.63 20.14–35.11 18.09–37.16 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.74 8.80–14.69 7.97–15.52 | 7.12 4.44–9.80 3.70–10.54 | 18.87 13.24–24.49 11.68–26.06 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.77–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 2.83 1.17–4.48 0.68–4.97 | 7.48 3.94–11.01 2.91–12.05 | 68% 19% |
| Corners | 6.84 4.63–9.06 4.06–9.63 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.45 | 10.76 6.55–14.98 5.44–16.08 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 67.98 61.19–74.77 59.52–76.44 | 32.41 25.62–39.19 23.95–40.86 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 563 495–630 477–648 | 257 190–323 173–341 | 820 686–953 650–989 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.26 80.23–88.29 78.94–89.58 | 70.28 65.96–74.61 64.65–75.92 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.10–14.77 8.34–15.53 | 13.48 10.54–16.43 9.79–17.18 | 25.42 19.64–31.20 18.13–32.71 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.37 | 3.69 1.44–5.94 0.85–6.53 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.97–3.84 0.58–4.23 | 4.33 2.77–5.88 2.35–6.31 | 6.73 3.74–9.72 2.93–10.54 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+