Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.660.992.65safe0.69–2.630.13–1.840.83–4.47safer0.44–2.880.00–2.070.35–4.95
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.253.458.70safe3.39–7.111.71–5.195.10–12.31safer2.90–7.601.24–5.664.14–13.26
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4110.8226.23safe11.49–19.347.26–14.3818.75–33.72safer10.40–20.436.30–15.3416.70–35.77
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.306.2316.53safe7.36–13.243.55–8.9110.90–22.15safer6.53–14.072.81–9.659.34–23.72
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.882.736.61safe2.00–5.771.07–4.383.07–10.15safer1.46–6.310.58–4.872.04–11.18
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.513.939.44safe3.30–7.731.93–5.935.23–13.66safer2.72–8.301.40–6.464.12–14.76
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.7143.77safe49.92–63.5036.99–50.56safer48.25–65.1735.32–52.23
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction456353808safe389–523286–419675–942safer371–541269–437639–978
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction83.1778.96safe79.14–87.2074.64–83.29safer77.85–88.4973.33–84.60
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.5426.59safe10.21–15.8910.60–16.4820.81–32.37safer9.46–16.649.85–17.2319.30–33.88
Offsides
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.502.95safe0.28–2.600.41–2.600.69–5.20safer0.00–2.900.12–2.890.10–5.79
Yellow cards
33%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.704.95safe1.20–3.291.57–3.832.77–7.12safer0.93–3.561.28–4.122.21–7.68
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
24%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.716.16safe1.01–3.892.15–5.273.17–9.15safer0.63–4.271.73–5.692.36–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 53% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.25 3.39–7.11 2.90–7.60 | 3.45 1.71–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 8.70 5.10–12.31 4.14–13.26 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.41 11.49–19.34 10.40–20.43 | 10.82 7.26–14.38 6.30–15.34 | 26.23 18.75–33.72 16.70–35.77 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.30 7.36–13.24 6.53–14.07 | 6.23 3.55–8.91 2.81–9.65 | 16.53 10.90–22.15 9.34–23.72 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 2.73 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 6.61 3.07–10.15 2.04–11.18 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.73 2.72–8.30 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.40–6.46 | 9.44 5.23–13.66 4.12–14.76 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 56.71 49.92–63.50 48.25–65.17 | 43.77 36.99–50.56 35.32–52.23 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 456 389–523 371–541 | 353 286–419 269–437 | 808 675–942 639–978 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.17 79.14–87.20 77.85–88.49 | 78.96 74.64–83.29 73.33–84.60 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.21–15.89 9.46–16.64 | 13.54 10.60–16.48 9.85–17.23 | 26.59 20.81–32.37 19.30–33.88 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.89 | 2.95 0.69–5.20 0.10–5.79 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.20–3.29 0.93–3.56 | 2.70 1.57–3.83 1.28–4.12 | 4.95 2.77–7.12 2.21–7.68 | 33% 18% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.89 0.63–4.27 | 3.71 2.15–5.27 1.73–5.69 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.36–9.96 | 24% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.