Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.482.53safe0.09–2.030.62–2.330.71–4.36safer0.00–2.280.39–2.560.23–4.84
Shots on target
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.914.618.52safe2.05–5.782.87–6.354.92–12.13safer1.56–6.272.40–6.823.96–13.08
Total shots
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9213.2526.17safe9.00–16.859.69–16.8118.68–33.66safer7.91–17.948.73–17.7716.63–35.71
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.938.5616.50safe4.99–10.885.88–11.2410.87–22.12safer4.16–11.715.14–11.989.31–23.69
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.807.14safe1.46–5.222.15–5.453.60–10.67safer0.91–5.761.65–5.952.57–11.71
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.744.959.69safe2.53–6.952.95–6.955.47–13.90safer1.95–7.532.42–7.484.37–15.01
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction45.6454.06safe38.85–52.4347.28–60.85safer37.18–54.1045.61–62.52
Passes
28%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction362430792safe294–429364–497658–925safer276–447346–514622–961
Pass accuracy %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction79.2382.21safe75.20–83.2677.88–86.53safer73.91–84.5676.57–87.84
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2114.0127.22safe10.37–16.0511.07–16.9621.44–33.01safer9.62–16.8010.32–17.7119.94–34.51
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.332.95safe0.46–2.780.24–2.430.70–5.20safer0.15–3.080.00–2.710.11–5.79
Yellow cards
39%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.304.54safe1.19–3.291.17–3.432.36–6.72safer0.93–3.560.88–3.721.80–7.28
Red cards
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.140.30safe0.00–0.320.00–0.330.00–0.65safer0.00–0.470.00–0.460.00–0.93
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.112.775.88safe1.67–4.551.22–4.332.89–8.88safer1.29–4.930.79–4.752.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.48 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 2.53 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 27% 26% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.05–5.78 1.56–6.27 | 4.61 2.87–6.35 2.40–6.82 | 8.52 4.92–12.13 3.96–13.08 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.92 9.00–16.85 7.91–17.94 | 13.25 9.69–16.81 8.73–17.77 | 26.17 18.68–33.66 16.63–35.71 | 44% 49% |
| Shots in box | 7.93 4.99–10.88 4.16–11.71 | 8.56 5.88–11.24 5.14–11.98 | 16.50 10.87–22.12 9.31–23.69 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.46–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 3.80 2.15–5.45 1.65–5.95 | 7.14 3.60–10.67 2.57–11.71 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.53–6.95 1.95–7.53 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.42–7.48 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 45.64 38.85–52.43 37.18–54.10 | 54.06 47.28–60.85 45.61–62.52 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 362 294–429 276–447 | 430 364–497 346–514 | 792 658–925 622–961 | 28% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.23 75.20–83.26 73.91–84.56 | 82.21 77.88–86.53 76.57–87.84 | — | 33% 63% |
| Fouls | 13.21 10.37–16.05 9.62–16.80 | 14.01 11.07–16.96 10.32–17.71 | 27.22 21.44–33.01 19.94–34.51 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.15–3.08 | 1.33 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.71 | 2.95 0.70–5.20 0.11–5.79 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.93–3.56 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 4.54 2.36–6.72 1.80–7.28 | 39% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 13% 76% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.67–4.55 1.29–4.93 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 5.88 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.