Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.682.94safe0.29–2.230.82–2.531.12–4.76safer0.04–2.480.60–2.760.64–5.24
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.375.229.59safe2.51–6.233.48–6.965.98–13.19safer2.02–6.723.01–7.435.03–14.15
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8813.5226.41safe8.96–16.819.96–17.0918.92–33.89safer7.87–17.909.00–18.0516.87–35.94
Shots in box
31%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.549.0216.56safe4.60–10.486.34–11.7010.94–22.18safer3.77–11.315.60–12.449.37–23.75
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.354.117.46safe1.47–5.232.46–5.763.92–10.99safer0.92–5.781.96–6.252.89–12.03
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.645.159.79safe2.43–6.853.15–7.155.57–14.00safer1.85–7.432.62–7.684.47–15.11
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.6055.31safe38.81–52.3948.52–62.09safer37.14–54.0646.85–63.77
Passes
23%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction357446803safe290–424379–512669–936safer272–442362–530633–972
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction80.3182.24safe76.28–84.3477.92–86.57safer74.98–85.6376.61–87.88
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0213.0226.05safe10.19–15.8610.08–15.9720.27–31.83safer9.43–16.629.33–16.7218.76–33.33
Offsides
48%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.583.61safe0.87–3.190.48–2.671.35–5.86safer0.57–3.490.19–2.960.76–6.45
Yellow cards
40%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.314.58safe1.22–3.321.18–3.442.40–6.76safer0.95–3.580.89–3.731.84–7.31
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.160.29safe0.00–0.290.00–0.340.00–0.64safer0.00–0.440.00–0.480.00–0.92
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.293.026.31safe1.85–4.731.46–4.583.32–9.30safer1.47–5.111.04–5.002.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.68 0.82–2.53 0.60–2.76 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.51–6.23 2.02–6.72 | 5.22 3.48–6.96 3.01–7.43 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.88 8.96–16.81 7.87–17.90 | 13.52 9.96–17.09 9.00–18.05 | 26.41 18.92–33.89 16.87–35.94 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.54 4.60–10.48 3.77–11.31 | 9.02 6.34–11.70 5.60–12.44 | 16.56 10.94–22.18 9.37–23.75 | 31% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.92–5.78 | 4.11 2.46–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 7.46 3.92–10.99 2.89–12.03 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.64 2.43–6.85 1.85–7.43 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.62–7.68 | 9.79 5.57–14.00 4.47–15.11 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 45.60 38.81–52.39 37.14–54.06 | 55.31 48.52–62.09 46.85–63.77 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 357 290–424 272–442 | 446 379–512 362–530 | 803 669–936 633–972 | 23% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.31 76.28–84.34 74.98–85.63 | 82.24 77.92–86.57 76.61–87.88 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 13.02 10.19–15.86 9.43–16.62 | 13.02 10.08–15.97 9.33–16.72 | 26.05 20.27–31.83 18.76–33.33 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.58 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.96 | 3.61 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 48% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.95–3.58 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.58 2.40–6.76 1.84–7.31 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.48 | 0.29 0.00–0.64 0.00–0.92 | 77% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.85–4.73 1.47–5.11 | 3.02 1.46–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.51–10.12 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.