Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.062.96safe0.93–2.870.20–1.911.14–4.78safer0.68–3.120.00–2.140.66–5.26
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.923.679.59safe4.06–7.791.92–5.415.98–13.19safer3.57–8.281.46–5.875.03–14.15
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4410.5326.97safe12.51–20.366.97–14.0919.48–34.46safer11.42–21.456.01–15.0517.43–36.51
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.685.9616.63safe7.73–13.623.28–8.6411.01–22.26safer6.91–14.452.54–9.379.44–23.82
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.182.606.78safe2.30–6.060.94–4.253.24–10.31safer1.75–6.610.45–4.742.21–11.35
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.993.679.66safe3.78–8.201.67–5.675.45–13.88safer3.20–8.781.14–6.204.34–14.98
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.5742.60safe49.78–63.3635.82–49.39safer48.11–65.0334.14–51.06
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction463363826safe395–530297–430692–960safer377–548279–447657–995
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction83.1180.30safe79.08–87.1475.98–84.63safer77.79–88.4374.67–85.94
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2813.6825.96safe9.44–15.1110.74–16.6320.18–31.74safer8.68–15.879.99–17.3818.67–33.25
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.903.51safe0.44–2.760.81–3.001.25–5.76safer0.14–3.060.52–3.280.66–6.35
Yellow cards
32%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.364.26safe0.85–2.941.23–3.492.08–6.43safer0.58–3.210.94–3.781.52–6.99
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.846.45safe1.18–4.052.28–5.393.46–9.44safer0.79–4.441.86–5.822.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.06–7.79 3.57–8.28 | 3.67 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.44 12.51–20.36 11.42–21.45 | 10.53 6.97–14.09 6.01–15.05 | 26.97 19.48–34.46 17.43–36.51 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.68 7.73–13.62 6.91–14.45 | 5.96 3.28–8.64 2.54–9.37 | 16.63 11.01–22.26 9.44–23.82 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.75–6.61 | 2.60 0.94–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 6.78 3.24–10.31 2.21–11.35 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.78–8.20 3.20–8.78 | 3.67 1.67–5.67 1.14–6.20 | 9.66 5.45–13.88 4.34–14.98 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 56.57 49.78–63.36 48.11–65.03 | 42.60 35.82–49.39 34.14–51.06 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 463 395–530 377–548 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 826 692–960 657–995 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.11 79.08–87.14 77.79–88.43 | 80.30 75.98–84.63 74.67–85.94 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 12.28 9.44–15.11 8.68–15.87 | 13.68 10.74–16.63 9.99–17.38 | 25.96 20.18–31.74 18.67–33.25 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.90 0.81–3.00 0.52–3.28 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.85–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 4.26 2.08–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 32% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.84 2.28–5.39 1.86–5.82 | 6.45 3.46–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.