Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.202.62safe0.45–2.390.35–2.060.80–4.44safer0.20–2.640.12–2.290.32–4.92
Shots on target
50%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.694.158.84safe2.83–6.552.41–5.895.23–12.44safer2.34–7.041.94–6.364.28–13.40
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5611.9825.54safe9.64–17.498.42–15.5418.06–33.03safer8.55–18.587.46–16.5016.01–35.08
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.237.6715.90safe5.29–11.174.99–10.3510.27–21.52safer4.46–12.004.25–11.098.71–23.09
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.216.56safe1.47–5.231.56–4.873.03–10.10safer0.92–5.771.07–5.361.99–11.13
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.129.41safe3.08–7.502.12–6.125.19–13.62safer2.50–8.081.58–6.654.09–14.73
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.3442.90safe50.55–64.1336.11–49.68safer48.88–65.8034.44–51.35
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction506384890safe439–573318–450757–1024safer421–592300–468721–1060
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction83.7979.74safe79.76–87.8275.42–84.06safer78.46–89.1174.11–85.37
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3214.3626.68safe9.49–15.1611.41–17.3020.90–32.46safer8.73–15.9210.67–18.0519.40–33.97
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.363.05safe0.53–2.850.26–2.450.79–5.30safer0.23–3.150.00–2.740.20–5.89
Yellow cards
32%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.694.86safe1.12–3.221.57–3.822.68–7.04safer0.85–3.481.27–4.112.13–7.60
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
37%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.156.00safe1.41–4.281.59–4.713.01–8.99safer1.02–4.671.17–5.132.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.55 2.34–7.04 | 4.15 2.41–5.89 1.94–6.36 | 8.84 5.23–12.44 4.28–13.40 | 50% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.64–17.49 8.55–18.58 | 11.98 8.42–15.54 7.46–16.50 | 25.54 18.06–33.03 16.01–35.08 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.23 5.29–11.17 4.46–12.00 | 7.67 4.99–10.35 4.25–11.09 | 15.90 10.27–21.52 8.71–23.09 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 3.21 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 6.56 3.03–10.10 1.99–11.13 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.08–7.50 2.50–8.08 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.58–6.65 | 9.41 5.19–13.62 4.09–14.73 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 57.34 50.55–64.13 48.88–65.80 | 42.90 36.11–49.68 34.44–51.35 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 506 439–573 421–592 | 384 318–450 300–468 | 890 757–1024 721–1060 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.79 79.76–87.82 78.46–89.11 | 79.74 75.42–84.06 74.11–85.37 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.32 9.49–15.16 8.73–15.92 | 14.36 11.41–17.30 10.67–18.05 | 26.68 20.90–32.46 19.40–33.97 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.05 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.89 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.85–3.48 | 2.69 1.57–3.82 1.27–4.11 | 4.86 2.68–7.04 2.13–7.60 | 32% 18% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 3.15 1.59–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 37% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.