Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.152.52safe0.40–2.340.29–2.000.70–4.34safer0.15–2.590.07–2.230.22–4.82
Shots on target
55%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.748.36safe2.76–6.491.99–5.484.75–11.96safer2.27–6.971.53–5.943.80–12.92
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3611.1125.47safe10.44–18.297.55–14.6717.99–32.96safer9.35–19.386.59–15.6315.94–35.01
Shots in box
63%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction8.356.5414.89safe5.40–11.293.86–9.229.26–20.51safer4.57–12.123.12–9.967.70–22.08
Blocked shots
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.556.24safe1.82–5.580.89–4.202.71–9.78safer1.27–6.120.40–4.691.67–10.82
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.389.45safe2.86–7.292.38–6.385.23–13.66safer2.28–7.861.84–6.914.13–14.77
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction45.9053.78safe39.11–52.6946.99–60.56safer37.44–54.3645.32–62.23
Passes
27%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction406477883safe338–473411–544749–1016safer320–491393–561713–1052
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction80.6583.07safe76.62–84.6878.74–87.39safer75.33–85.9777.43–88.70
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9112.3826.30safe11.08–16.759.44–15.3320.52–32.08safer10.32–17.518.69–16.0819.01–33.59
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.573.05safe0.32–2.640.48–2.660.79–5.30safer0.02–2.940.19–2.950.20–5.89
Yellow cards
38%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.222.334.55safe1.17–3.271.20–3.462.37–6.73safer0.91–3.540.91–3.751.81–7.29
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.23safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.085.53safe1.01–3.881.52–4.642.53–8.52safer0.62–4.271.10–5.061.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.52 0.70–4.34 0.22–4.82 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.49 2.27–6.97 | 3.74 1.99–5.48 1.53–5.94 | 8.36 4.75–11.96 3.80–12.92 | 55% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.36 10.44–18.29 9.35–19.38 | 11.11 7.55–14.67 6.59–15.63 | 25.47 17.99–32.96 15.94–35.01 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 8.35 5.40–11.29 4.57–12.12 | 6.54 3.86–9.22 3.12–9.96 | 14.89 9.26–20.51 7.70–22.08 | 63% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 2.55 0.89–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 6.24 2.71–9.78 1.67–10.82 | 60% 15% 25% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.28–7.86 | 4.38 2.38–6.38 1.84–6.91 | 9.45 5.23–13.66 4.13–14.77 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 45.90 39.11–52.69 37.44–54.36 | 53.78 46.99–60.56 45.32–62.23 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 406 338–473 320–491 | 477 411–544 393–561 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 27% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.65 76.62–84.68 75.33–85.97 | 83.07 78.74–87.39 77.43–88.70 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 13.91 11.08–16.75 10.32–17.51 | 12.38 9.44–15.33 8.69–16.08 | 26.30 20.52–32.08 19.01–33.59 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.05 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.89 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.17–3.27 0.91–3.54 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.55 2.37–6.73 1.81–7.29 | 38% 19% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.88 0.62–4.27 | 3.08 1.52–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 5.53 2.53–8.52 1.72–9.33 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.