Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
21%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.990.822.81safe1.02–2.960.00–1.680.99–4.63safer0.77–3.210.00–1.900.51–5.11
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.723.198.91safe3.86–7.581.44–4.935.30–12.51safer3.37–8.070.98–5.394.35–13.47
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.839.1926.02safe12.91–20.765.63–12.7518.54–33.51safer11.82–21.854.67–13.7116.49–35.56
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.114.9216.03safe8.16–14.052.24–7.6010.40–21.65safer7.33–14.881.50–8.348.84–23.22
Blocked shots
69%
13%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.942.196.13safe2.06–5.820.53–3.842.59–9.66safer1.52–6.370.04–4.331.56–10.70
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.023.369.37safe3.80–8.231.36–5.365.16–13.59safer3.23–8.800.82–5.894.05–14.69
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.4944.21safe49.70–63.2837.43–51.00safer48.03–64.9535.76–52.67
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction472364836safe405–539297–430702–969safer387–557280–448666–1005
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction84.3679.32safe80.33–88.3975.00–83.65safer79.04–89.6873.69–84.96
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4112.1027.50safe12.57–18.249.15–15.0421.72–33.29safer11.81–19.008.40–15.7920.22–34.79
Offsides
67%
17%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.711.314.02safe1.55–3.870.22–2.401.77–6.28safer1.25–4.170.00–2.691.18–6.87
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.414.25safe0.79–2.891.28–3.542.07–6.43safer0.53–3.160.99–3.831.52–6.99
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.110.25safe0.00–0.300.00–0.300.00–0.60safer0.00–0.450.00–0.430.00–0.88
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.736.07safe0.91–3.782.17–5.283.08–9.06safer0.52–4.171.74–5.712.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.96 0.77–3.21 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.90 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 65% 21% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.72 3.86–7.58 3.37–8.07 | 3.19 1.44–4.93 0.98–5.39 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.83 12.91–20.76 11.82–21.85 | 9.19 5.63–12.75 4.67–13.71 | 26.02 18.54–33.51 16.49–35.56 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.11 8.16–14.05 7.33–14.88 | 4.92 2.24–7.60 1.50–8.34 | 16.03 10.40–21.65 8.84–23.22 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.52–6.37 | 2.19 0.53–3.84 0.04–4.33 | 6.13 2.59–9.66 1.56–10.70 | 69% 13% 18% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.80–8.23 3.23–8.80 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.82–5.89 | 9.37 5.16–13.59 4.05–14.69 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 56.49 49.70–63.28 48.03–64.95 | 44.21 37.43–51.00 35.76–52.67 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 387–557 | 364 297–430 280–448 | 836 702–969 666–1005 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.36 80.33–88.39 79.04–89.68 | 79.32 75.00–83.65 73.69–84.96 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 15.41 12.57–18.24 11.81–19.00 | 12.10 9.15–15.04 8.40–15.79 | 27.50 21.72–33.29 20.22–34.79 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 2.71 1.55–3.87 1.25–4.17 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 4.02 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.87 | 67% 17% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.73 2.17–5.28 1.74–5.71 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.