Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.932.95safe0.06–1.991.07–2.781.13–4.78safer0.00–2.240.85–3.010.65–5.26
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.055.139.18safe2.18–5.913.39–6.875.57–12.78safer1.69–6.402.92–7.344.62–13.74
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8214.4826.29safe7.89–15.7410.91–18.0418.81–33.78safer6.80–16.839.95–19.0016.76–35.83
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction5.959.3415.29safe3.01–8.896.66–12.029.66–20.91safer2.18–9.725.92–12.768.10–22.48
Blocked shots
29%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.956.92safe1.09–4.862.29–5.603.39–10.46safer0.55–5.401.80–6.092.35–11.49
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.105.219.31safe1.89–6.313.21–7.215.10–13.52safer1.31–6.892.68–7.743.99–14.63
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction46.5752.42safe39.78–53.3645.64–59.21safer38.11–55.0343.96–60.88
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction369418787safe302–436351–484653–921safer284–454334–502617–956
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction79.6282.69safe75.59–83.6578.37–87.02safer74.30–84.9477.06–88.33
Fouls
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7015.8027.49safe8.86–14.5412.85–18.7421.71–33.28safer8.10–15.2912.10–19.4920.21–34.78
Offsides
17%
17%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.643.94safe0.14–2.461.54–3.731.68–6.19safer0.00–2.761.25–4.021.09–6.78
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.504.58safe1.04–3.141.37–3.622.40–6.76safer0.77–3.401.08–3.921.85–7.32
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.130.27safe0.00–0.300.00–0.320.00–0.62safer0.00–0.450.00–0.450.00–0.90
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.926.31safe1.95–4.821.37–4.483.32–9.30safer1.56–5.210.94–4.912.51–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.06–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.93 1.07–2.78 0.85–3.01 | 2.95 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.40 | 5.13 3.39–6.87 2.92–7.34 | 9.18 5.57–12.78 4.62–13.74 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 11.82 7.89–15.74 6.80–16.83 | 14.48 10.91–18.04 9.95–19.00 | 26.29 18.81–33.78 16.76–35.83 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 5.95 3.01–8.89 2.18–9.72 | 9.34 6.66–12.02 5.92–12.76 | 15.29 9.66–20.91 8.10–22.48 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.09–4.86 0.55–5.40 | 3.95 2.29–5.60 1.80–6.09 | 6.92 3.39–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 29% 15% 57% |
| Corners | 4.10 1.89–6.31 1.31–6.89 | 5.21 3.21–7.21 2.68–7.74 | 9.31 5.10–13.52 3.99–14.63 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 46.57 39.78–53.36 38.11–55.03 | 52.42 45.64–59.21 43.96–60.88 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 369 302–436 284–454 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 787 653–921 617–956 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.62 75.59–83.65 74.30–84.94 | 82.69 78.37–87.02 77.06–88.33 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 11.70 8.86–14.54 8.10–15.29 | 15.80 12.85–18.74 12.10–19.49 | 27.49 21.71–33.28 20.21–34.78 | 19% 75% |
| Offsides | 1.30 0.14–2.46 0.00–2.76 | 2.64 1.54–3.73 1.25–4.02 | 3.94 1.68–6.19 1.09–6.78 | 17% 17% 66% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.77–3.40 | 2.50 1.37–3.62 1.08–3.92 | 4.58 2.40–6.76 1.85–7.32 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.95–4.82 1.56–5.21 | 2.92 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.91 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.51–10.11 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+