Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.022.65safe0.66–2.600.17–1.880.83–4.47safer0.41–2.850.00–2.110.35–4.95
Shots on target
55%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.838.57safe2.88–6.602.09–5.574.97–12.18safer2.39–7.091.62–6.044.01–13.13
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0011.2424.24safe9.08–16.937.67–14.8016.75–31.73safer7.99–18.026.71–15.7614.70–33.78
Shots in box
65%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction8.506.4614.96safe5.56–11.443.78–9.149.34–20.59safer4.73–12.273.04–9.887.77–22.15
Blocked shots
55%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.592.756.34safe1.71–5.471.10–4.402.80–9.88safer1.16–6.020.61–4.901.77–10.91
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.029.44safe3.21–7.632.02–6.025.23–13.66safer2.63–8.211.49–6.564.12–14.76
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.1149.08safe44.32–57.9042.29–55.86safer42.65–59.5740.62–57.53
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction471454925safe404–539387–520791–1059safer386–557370–538756–1094
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction83.9283.35safe79.89–87.9579.03–87.67safer78.60–89.2477.72–88.98
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4713.1125.58safe9.63–15.3110.16–16.0519.80–31.36safer8.88–16.069.41–16.8018.29–32.87
Offsides
15%
16%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.733.99safe0.10–2.421.64–3.831.74–6.24safer0.00–2.721.35–4.111.15–6.83
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.384.36safe0.93–3.031.26–3.512.18–6.54safer0.66–3.290.96–3.801.63–7.10
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
36%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.085.79safe1.28–4.151.52–4.642.80–8.78safer0.89–4.541.10–5.061.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.74 2.88–6.60 2.39–7.09 | 3.83 2.09–5.57 1.62–6.04 | 8.57 4.97–12.18 4.01–13.13 | 55% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.00 9.08–16.93 7.99–18.02 | 11.24 7.67–14.80 6.71–15.76 | 24.24 16.75–31.73 14.70–33.78 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.56–11.44 4.73–12.27 | 6.46 3.78–9.14 3.04–9.88 | 14.96 9.34–20.59 7.77–22.15 | 65% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.47 1.16–6.02 | 2.75 1.10–4.40 0.61–4.90 | 6.34 2.80–9.88 1.77–10.91 | 55% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.21–7.63 2.63–8.21 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.49–6.56 | 9.44 5.23–13.66 4.12–14.76 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 51.11 44.32–57.90 42.65–59.57 | 49.08 42.29–55.86 40.62–57.53 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 471 404–539 386–557 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 925 791–1059 756–1094 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.92 79.89–87.95 78.60–89.24 | 83.35 79.03–87.67 77.72–88.98 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 12.47 9.63–15.31 8.88–16.06 | 13.11 10.16–16.05 9.41–16.80 | 25.58 19.80–31.36 18.29–32.87 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.26 0.10–2.42 0.00–2.72 | 2.73 1.64–3.83 1.35–4.11 | 3.99 1.74–6.24 1.15–6.83 | 15% 16% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 2.38 1.26–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 4.36 2.18–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.08 1.52–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.99–9.60 | 36% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.