Süper Lig·Regular Season - 27·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
25%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.552.84safe0.32–2.260.69–2.401.01–4.66safer0.07–2.510.46–2.630.53–5.14
Shots on target
46%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.288.75safe2.61–6.332.53–6.025.14–12.35safer2.12–6.822.07–6.484.19–13.31
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3011.8725.16safe9.37–17.228.31–15.4317.68–32.65safer8.28–18.317.35–16.3915.63–34.70
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.558.0616.61safe5.61–11.495.38–10.7410.99–22.23safer4.78–12.324.64–11.489.42–23.80
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.603.116.71safe1.71–5.481.46–4.763.17–10.24safer1.17–6.020.97–5.262.14–11.28
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.299.27safe2.77–7.202.29–6.295.06–13.49safer2.20–7.771.76–6.823.95–14.59
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction50.9648.81safe44.17–57.7542.02–55.59safer42.50–59.4240.35–57.27
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction468438906safe401–535372–505773–1040safer383–554354–522737–1076
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction84.1883.86safe80.15–88.2179.54–88.19safer78.86–89.5078.23–89.50
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4712.6425.11safe9.63–15.319.70–15.5919.33–30.89safer8.87–16.068.95–16.3317.82–32.40
Offsides
71%
15%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.274.16safe1.73–4.050.18–2.361.90–6.41safer1.43–4.350.00–2.651.31–7.00
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.073.97safe0.85–2.950.94–3.201.79–6.15safer0.59–3.220.65–3.491.23–6.71
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.100.24safe0.00–0.300.00–0.290.00–0.59safer0.00–0.450.00–0.420.00–0.87
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.145.89safe1.31–4.181.59–4.702.90–8.88safer0.92–4.571.16–5.122.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.55 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 2.84 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 32% 25% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 4.28 2.53–6.02 2.07–6.48 | 8.75 5.14–12.35 4.19–13.31 | 46% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.37–17.22 8.28–18.31 | 11.87 8.31–15.43 7.35–16.39 | 25.16 17.68–32.65 15.63–34.70 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.49 4.78–12.32 | 8.06 5.38–10.74 4.64–11.48 | 16.61 10.99–22.23 9.42–23.80 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.71–5.48 1.17–6.02 | 3.11 1.46–4.76 0.97–5.26 | 6.71 3.17–10.24 2.14–11.28 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.77–7.20 2.20–7.77 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.82 | 9.27 5.06–13.49 3.95–14.59 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 50.96 44.17–57.75 42.50–59.42 | 48.81 42.02–55.59 40.35–57.27 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 468 401–535 383–554 | 438 372–505 354–522 | 906 773–1040 737–1076 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.18 80.15–88.21 78.86–89.50 | 83.86 79.54–88.19 78.23–89.50 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 12.47 9.63–15.31 8.87–16.06 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.33 | 25.11 19.33–30.89 17.82–32.40 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.43–4.35 | 1.27 0.18–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 4.16 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 71% 15% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.23–6.71 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.31–4.18 0.92–4.57 | 3.14 1.59–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+