Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.971.812.78safe0.00–1.940.95–2.660.95–4.60safer0.00–2.190.72–2.890.47–5.08
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.065.198.26safe1.20–4.933.45–6.934.65–11.86safer0.71–5.422.98–7.403.70–12.82
Total shots
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0614.5924.65safe6.13–13.9811.03–18.1517.16–32.14safer5.04–15.0710.07–19.1115.11–34.19
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction6.178.8014.97safe3.23–9.116.12–11.489.35–20.59safer2.40–9.945.38–12.227.78–22.16
Blocked shots
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.636.08safe0.57–4.331.98–5.282.54–9.61safer0.02–4.871.48–5.771.51–10.65
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.765.399.15safe1.55–5.973.39–7.394.93–13.36safer0.97–6.552.85–7.923.83–14.47
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.3862.60safe29.59–43.1755.81–69.38safer27.92–44.8454.14–71.05
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction330563894safe263–398497–630760–1027safer245–416479–647724–1063
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction78.0088.01safe73.97–82.0383.69–92.33safer72.68–83.3282.38–93.64
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5212.8823.41safe7.69–13.369.94–15.8317.62–29.19safer6.93–14.129.19–16.5716.12–30.69
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.573.31safe0.57–2.900.48–2.671.05–5.56safer0.27–3.200.19–2.950.46–6.15
Yellow cards
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.183.90safe0.67–2.771.05–3.311.72–6.08safer0.40–3.040.76–3.601.16–6.64
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
59%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.395.85safe2.02–4.900.83–3.942.85–8.84safer1.64–5.280.41–4.372.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 1.81 0.95–2.66 0.72–2.89 | 2.78 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.06 1.20–4.93 0.71–5.42 | 5.19 3.45–6.93 2.98–7.40 | 8.26 4.65–11.86 3.70–12.82 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.06 6.13–13.98 5.04–15.07 | 14.59 11.03–18.15 10.07–19.11 | 24.65 17.16–32.14 15.11–34.19 | 15% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.17 3.23–9.11 2.40–9.94 | 8.80 6.12–11.48 5.38–12.22 | 14.97 9.35–20.59 7.78–22.16 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 2.45 0.57–4.33 0.02–4.87 | 3.63 1.98–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 6.08 2.54–9.61 1.51–10.65 | 24% 15% 61% |
| Corners | 3.76 1.55–5.97 0.97–6.55 | 5.39 3.39–7.39 2.85–7.92 | 9.15 4.93–13.36 3.83–14.47 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 36.38 29.59–43.17 27.92–44.84 | 62.60 55.81–69.38 54.14–71.05 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 330 263–398 245–416 | 563 497–630 479–647 | 894 760–1027 724–1063 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.00 73.97–82.03 72.68–83.32 | 88.01 83.69–92.33 82.38–93.64 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.69–13.36 6.93–14.12 | 12.88 9.94–15.83 9.19–16.57 | 23.41 17.62–29.19 16.12–30.69 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.90 0.27–3.20 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.95 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.04 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.16–6.64 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.02–4.90 1.64–5.28 | 2.39 0.83–3.94 0.41–4.37 | 5.85 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 59% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.