Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
21%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction1.960.762.72safe0.99–2.930.00–1.610.89–4.54safer0.74–3.180.00–1.840.41–5.02
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.922.758.66safe4.05–7.781.00–4.495.06–12.27safer3.57–8.270.54–4.954.10–13.22
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.528.6125.13safe12.60–20.455.05–12.1717.64–32.62safer11.51–21.544.09–13.1315.59–34.67
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.005.4316.43safe8.05–13.942.75–8.1110.80–22.05safer7.23–14.772.01–8.859.24–23.62
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.422.036.45safe2.53–6.300.38–3.692.92–9.99safer1.99–6.840.00–4.181.88–11.02
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.213.309.51safe4.00–8.421.30–5.305.30–13.73safer3.42–9.000.77–5.834.19–14.83
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.5734.61safe58.78–72.3627.82–41.39safer57.11–74.0326.15–43.07
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction606329936safe539–673263–396802–1069safer521–692245–413766–1105
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction88.7677.81safe84.73–92.7973.49–82.14safer83.44–94.0872.18–83.45
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4110.9124.33safe10.58–16.257.97–13.8618.54–30.11safer9.82–17.017.22–14.6117.04–31.61
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.543.41safe0.71–3.030.45–2.641.16–5.66safer0.41–3.330.16–2.930.57–6.25
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.723.48safe0.71–2.810.59–2.851.30–5.66safer0.44–3.070.30–3.140.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.124.036.15safe0.69–3.562.47–5.583.16–9.14safer0.30–3.952.04–6.012.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 66% 21% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.92 4.05–7.78 3.57–8.27 | 2.75 1.00–4.49 0.54–4.95 | 8.66 5.06–12.27 4.10–13.22 | 82% |
| Total shots | 16.52 12.60–20.45 11.51–21.54 | 8.61 5.05–12.17 4.09–13.13 | 25.13 17.64–32.62 15.59–34.67 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.00 8.05–13.94 7.23–14.77 | 5.43 2.75–8.11 2.01–8.85 | 16.43 10.80–22.05 9.24–23.62 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 2.03 0.38–3.69 0.00–4.18 | 6.45 2.92–9.99 1.88–11.02 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.21 4.00–8.42 3.42–9.00 | 3.30 1.30–5.30 0.77–5.83 | 9.51 5.30–13.73 4.19–14.83 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 65.57 58.78–72.36 57.11–74.03 | 34.61 27.82–41.39 26.15–43.07 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 606 539–673 521–692 | 329 263–396 245–413 | 936 802–1069 766–1105 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 88.76 84.73–92.79 83.44–94.08 | 77.81 73.49–82.14 72.18–83.45 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 13.41 10.58–16.25 9.82–17.01 | 10.91 7.97–13.86 7.22–14.61 | 24.33 18.54–30.11 17.04–31.61 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.54 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.93 | 3.41 1.16–5.66 0.57–6.25 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 4.03 2.47–5.58 2.04–6.01 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

