Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.440.803.24safe1.47–3.410.00–1.661.42–5.07safer1.22–3.660.00–1.890.94–5.54
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.463.2710.72safe5.59–9.321.53–5.017.12–14.33safer5.10–9.811.06–5.486.16–15.28
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.599.1228.71safe15.67–23.525.55–12.6821.22–36.20safer14.58–24.614.59–13.6419.17–38.25
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.655.7919.45safe10.71–16.603.11–8.4713.82–25.07safer9.88–17.432.37–9.2112.26–26.64
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.002.647.64safe3.11–6.880.99–4.294.10–11.17safer2.57–7.420.50–4.793.07–12.21
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.743.6111.35safe5.52–9.951.61–5.617.13–15.56safer4.95–10.521.08–6.156.03–16.67
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.1532.19safe61.36–74.9425.40–38.97safer59.69–76.6123.73–40.64
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction568252820safe501–636185–318686–954safer483–654168–336651–989
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction81.1665.77safe77.13–85.1961.44–70.09safer75.84–86.4860.13–71.40
Fouls
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5114.6325.14safe7.67–13.3411.68–17.5719.35–30.92safer6.91–14.1010.94–18.3217.85–32.42
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.763.62safe0.70–3.020.66–2.851.36–5.87safer0.40–3.320.37–3.140.77–6.46
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.393.97safe0.52–2.621.27–3.521.79–6.14safer0.26–2.890.97–3.811.23–6.70
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.254.947.18safe0.81–3.683.38–6.494.19–10.17safer0.42–4.072.95–6.923.38–10.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.44 1.47–3.41 1.22–3.66 | 0.80 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 3.24 1.42–5.07 0.94–5.54 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.46 5.59–9.32 5.10–9.81 | 3.27 1.53–5.01 1.06–5.48 | 10.72 7.12–14.33 6.16–15.28 | 87% |
| Total shots | 19.59 15.67–23.52 14.58–24.61 | 9.12 5.55–12.68 4.59–13.64 | 28.71 21.22–36.20 19.17–38.25 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.65 10.71–16.60 9.88–17.43 | 5.79 3.11–8.47 2.37–9.21 | 19.45 13.82–25.07 12.26–26.64 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.00 3.11–6.88 2.57–7.42 | 2.64 0.99–4.29 0.50–4.79 | 7.64 4.10–11.17 3.07–12.21 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 7.74 5.52–9.95 4.95–10.52 | 3.61 1.61–5.61 1.08–6.15 | 11.35 7.13–15.56 6.03–16.67 | 86% |
| Possession % | 68.15 61.36–74.94 59.69–76.61 | 32.19 25.40–38.97 23.73–40.64 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 568 501–636 483–654 | 252 185–318 168–336 | 820 686–954 651–989 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.16 77.13–85.19 75.84–86.48 | 65.77 61.44–70.09 60.13–71.40 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.67–13.34 6.91–14.10 | 14.63 11.68–17.57 10.94–18.32 | 25.14 19.35–30.92 17.85–32.42 | 18% 77% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.62 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 2.39 1.27–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 3.97 1.79–6.14 1.23–6.70 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 4.94 3.38–6.49 2.95–6.92 | 7.18 4.19–10.17 3.38–10.99 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+

