Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.052.203.24safe0.08–2.021.34–3.051.42–5.07safer0.00–2.271.11–3.280.94–5.55
Shots on target
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.605.869.46safe1.74–5.464.12–7.605.85–13.06safer1.25–5.953.65–8.074.90–14.02
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0315.4926.52safe7.11–14.9611.93–19.0519.03–34.01safer6.02–16.0510.97–20.0116.98–36.06
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0511.1918.24safe4.11–9.998.51–13.8712.62–23.86safer3.28–10.827.77–14.6111.05–25.43
Blocked shots
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.094.787.86safe1.20–4.973.12–6.434.33–11.40safer0.66–5.512.63–6.923.29–12.43
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.415.9610.38safe2.20–6.633.96–7.976.17–14.59safer1.63–7.203.43–8.505.06–15.70
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.2265.39safe27.43–41.0158.60–72.17safer25.76–42.6856.93–73.84
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction281513794safe213–348447–580660–928safer195–366429–597625–963
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction66.1279.83safe62.09–70.1575.51–84.15safer60.79–71.4474.20–85.46
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7512.0526.80safe11.91–17.589.11–15.0021.02–32.58safer11.15–18.348.36–15.7519.51–34.09
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.623.37safe0.58–2.900.53–2.721.11–5.62safer0.28–3.210.24–3.000.52–6.21
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.014.25safe1.19–3.280.88–3.142.07–6.43safer0.92–3.550.59–3.431.51–6.98
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.526.08safe2.13–5.000.96–4.073.09–9.07safer1.74–5.390.53–4.502.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 2.20 1.34–3.05 1.11–3.28 | 3.24 1.42–5.07 0.94–5.55 | 17% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.60 1.74–5.46 1.25–5.95 | 5.86 4.12–7.60 3.65–8.07 | 9.46 5.85–13.06 4.90–14.02 | 18% 72% |
| Total shots | 11.03 7.11–14.96 6.02–16.05 | 15.49 11.93–19.05 10.97–20.01 | 26.52 19.03–34.01 16.98–36.06 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 7.05 4.11–9.99 3.28–10.82 | 11.19 8.51–13.87 7.77–14.61 | 18.24 12.62–23.86 11.05–25.43 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 3.09 1.20–4.97 0.66–5.51 | 4.78 3.12–6.43 2.63–6.92 | 7.86 4.33–11.40 3.29–12.43 | 21% 66% |
| Corners | 4.41 2.20–6.63 1.63–7.20 | 5.96 3.96–7.97 3.43–8.50 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 34.22 27.43–41.01 25.76–42.68 | 65.39 58.60–72.17 56.93–73.84 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 281 213–348 195–366 | 513 447–580 429–597 | 794 660–928 625–963 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.12 62.09–70.15 60.79–71.44 | 79.83 75.51–84.15 74.20–85.46 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 14.75 11.91–17.58 11.15–18.34 | 12.05 9.11–15.00 8.36–15.75 | 26.80 21.02–32.58 19.51–34.09 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.21 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.00 | 3.37 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.28 0.92–3.55 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.51–6.98 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 2.52 0.96–4.07 0.53–4.50 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.28–9.89 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.

