Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
27%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.402.40safe0.03–1.960.54–2.250.57–4.22safer0.00–2.220.32–2.480.09–4.70
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.784.268.04safe1.92–5.642.52–6.004.44–11.65safer1.43–6.132.05–6.473.48–12.60
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7912.7424.53safe7.87–15.729.18–16.3017.05–32.02safer6.78–16.818.22–17.2615.00–34.07
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction6.828.3815.20safe3.88–9.775.70–11.069.58–20.83safer3.05–10.604.96–11.808.01–22.39
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.666.81safe1.27–5.032.00–5.313.27–10.34safer0.72–5.581.51–5.802.24–11.38
Corners
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.849.50safe2.45–6.872.84–6.845.29–13.72safer1.87–7.452.31–7.374.18–14.82
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.2350.29safe42.44–56.0243.50–57.07safer40.77–57.6941.83–58.74
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction386392778safe319–453325–458644–911safer301–472308–476608–947
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction79.1180.23safe75.08–83.1475.91–84.55safer73.79–84.4374.60–85.86
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4213.3427.76safe11.58–17.2610.40–16.2921.98–33.55safer10.83–18.029.65–17.0420.48–35.05
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.463.14safe0.52–2.850.37–2.550.89–5.40safer0.22–3.150.08–2.840.30–5.99
Yellow cards
45%
19%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.392.114.50safe1.34–3.440.98–3.242.32–6.68safer1.07–3.700.69–3.531.76–7.23
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.100.25safe0.00–0.310.00–0.280.00–0.59safer0.00–0.460.00–0.420.00–0.88
GK saves
42%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.712.685.39safe1.27–4.141.12–4.242.39–8.38safer0.88–4.530.70–4.661.58–9.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.22 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.32–2.48 | 2.40 0.57–4.22 0.09–4.70 | 27% 27% 46% |
| Shots on target | 3.78 1.92–5.64 1.43–6.13 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 8.04 4.44–11.65 3.48–12.60 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 11.79 7.87–15.72 6.78–16.81 | 12.74 9.18–16.30 8.22–17.26 | 24.53 17.05–32.02 15.00–34.07 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 6.82 3.88–9.77 3.05–10.60 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.80 | 15.20 9.58–20.83 8.01–22.39 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.27–5.03 0.72–5.58 | 3.66 2.00–5.31 1.51–5.80 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.66 2.45–6.87 1.87–7.45 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 9.50 5.29–13.72 4.18–14.82 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 49.23 42.44–56.02 40.77–57.69 | 50.29 43.50–57.07 41.83–58.74 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 386 319–453 301–472 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 778 644–911 608–947 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.11 75.08–83.14 73.79–84.43 | 80.23 75.91–84.55 74.60–85.86 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 14.42 11.58–17.26 10.83–18.02 | 13.34 10.40–16.29 9.65–17.04 | 27.76 21.98–33.55 20.48–35.05 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.52–2.85 0.22–3.15 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.14 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.39 1.34–3.44 1.07–3.70 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.50 2.32–6.68 1.76–7.23 | 45% 19% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 2.68 1.12–4.24 0.70–4.66 | 5.39 2.39–8.38 1.58–9.19 | 42% 18% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.