Süper Lig·Regular Season - 27·
Süper Lig·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
26%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.550.942.49safe0.58–2.520.09–1.800.67–4.31safer0.33–2.770.00–2.020.19–4.79
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.903.288.19safe3.04–6.761.54–5.034.58–11.79safer2.55–7.251.08–5.493.62–12.75
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4310.5424.97safe10.50–18.356.98–14.1017.48–32.46safer9.41–19.446.02–15.0615.43–34.51
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.155.7515.89safe7.20–13.093.07–8.4310.27–21.52safer6.37–13.922.33–9.178.70–23.08
Blocked shots
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.646.46safe1.94–5.700.99–4.292.93–10.00safer1.40–6.250.50–4.791.89–11.03
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.593.899.48safe3.38–7.801.89–5.895.27–13.69safer2.80–8.381.36–6.424.16–14.80
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.3646.58safe46.57–60.1539.79–53.36safer44.90–61.8238.12–55.03
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction428378806safe361–495311–444672–939safer343–514294–462636–975
Pass accuracy %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction82.9579.54safe78.92–86.9875.21–83.86safer77.63–88.2773.90–85.17
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3413.9526.29safe9.50–15.1811.01–16.9020.51–32.07safer8.75–15.9310.26–17.6519.00–33.58
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.523.03safe0.35–2.670.43–2.610.78–5.28safer0.05–2.970.14–2.900.19–5.87
Yellow cards
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.454.27safe0.77–2.871.32–3.582.09–6.45safer0.50–3.131.03–3.871.53–7.01
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.323.285.61safe0.89–3.761.73–4.842.61–8.60safer0.50–4.151.30–5.261.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.02 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 52% 26% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.04–6.76 2.55–7.25 | 3.28 1.54–5.03 1.08–5.49 | 8.19 4.58–11.79 3.62–12.75 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.43 10.50–18.35 9.41–19.44 | 10.54 6.98–14.10 6.02–15.06 | 24.97 17.48–32.46 15.43–34.51 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.15 7.20–13.09 6.37–13.92 | 5.75 3.07–8.43 2.33–9.17 | 15.89 10.27–21.52 8.70–23.08 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.40–6.25 | 2.64 0.99–4.29 0.50–4.79 | 6.46 2.93–10.00 1.89–11.03 | 60% 15% 25% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.38–7.80 2.80–8.38 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.42 | 9.48 5.27–13.69 4.16–14.80 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 53.36 46.57–60.15 44.90–61.82 | 46.58 39.79–53.36 38.12–55.03 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 428 361–495 343–514 | 378 311–444 294–462 | 806 672–939 636–975 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.95 78.92–86.98 77.63–88.27 | 79.54 75.21–83.86 73.90–85.17 | — | 65% 31% |
| Fouls | 12.34 9.50–15.18 8.75–15.93 | 13.95 11.01–16.90 10.26–17.65 | 26.29 20.51–32.07 19.00–33.58 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.03 0.78–5.28 0.19–5.87 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.01 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 5.61 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+